{"source":"manifold","id":"uIQlEUOhuS","ticker":null,"slug":"gemini-perfect-score-on-imo-2026","title":"Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?","description":"This year, 2025 gemini got a 35, a gold medal, but will it ever get a 42 (on IMO 2026)???\n\nUpdate 2025-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Applies to: The Gemini model that actually competes in the 2026 IMO (whatever the new Gemini version entered is).\n\nYES if that specific model scores a perfect 42/42. NO otherwise.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:30:17.914000Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4434.257004570675,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.471311569213867,"liquidity":100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.52,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T10:44:05.007396Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T10:44:05.007396Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T09:53:09.581440Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/johnNZOy/gemini-perfect-score-on-imo-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uIQlEUOhuS","event_id":"uIQlEUOhuS","slug":"gemini-perfect-score-on-imo-2026","question":"Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This year, 2025 gemini got a 35, a gold medal, but will it ever get a 42 (on IMO 2026)???\n\nUpdate 2025-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Applies to: The Gemini model that actually competes in the 2026 IMO (whatever the new Gemini version entered is).\n\nYES if that specific model scores a perfect 42/42. NO otherwise.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:30:17.914000Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4434.257004570675,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.471311569213867,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:18:24.720685Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T10:43:09.370224Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T09:53:09.581440Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/johnNZOy/gemini-perfect-score-on-imo-2026","event_title":"Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uIQlEUOhuS","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:20:36.353477Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?\" — top market at 52% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}