{"source":"manifold","id":"uNTCQirqLmaMtbl4HH34","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-critically-acclaimed-video-g-9a7eb9a3597a","title":"Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?","description":"The \"AI-generated dialogue\" is any dialogue generated live during play using artificial intelligence, such as GPT-4. If the developers of a game say that their scripts were co-written or fully written with AI beforehand, this would not count. Mods do not count, only the game as released by the developers.\n\n\n\"dialogue\" means the text/words must be live-generated by AI, and would not resolve just to deepfaked audio/voice if the text is not live-generated by AI (for example, if the text is generated by players, or was written by the developers).\n\nTo make verification easy for whether a game is \"critically acclaimed\" I will check Wikipedia's section for 2026 games that won awards at awards shows or achieved high scores from Metacritic (i.e. 90+).\n\nSee also:\n\n[markets]","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/cash%2F55b035b8257c.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-26T18:45:17.688000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5175.731062336887,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.454633712768555,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["ai","technology-default","culture-default","science-default","gaming"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.36,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.36,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:50:00.926402Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:50:00.926402Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T06:45:20.405190Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-a-critically-acclaimed-video-g-9a7eb9a3597a","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uNTCQirqLmaMtbl4HH34","event_id":"uNTCQirqLmaMtbl4HH34","slug":"will-a-critically-acclaimed-video-g-9a7eb9a3597a","question":"Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The \"AI-generated dialogue\" is any dialogue generated live during play using artificial intelligence, such as GPT-4. If the developers of a game say that their scripts were co-written or fully written with AI beforehand, this would not count. Mods do not count, only the game as released by the developers.\n\n\n\"dialogue\" means the text/words must be live-generated by AI, and would not resolve just to deepfaked audio/voice if the text is not live-generated by AI (for example, if the text is generated by players, or was written by the developers).\n\nTo make verification easy for whether a game is \"critically acclaimed\" I will check Wikipedia's section for 2026 games that won awards at awards shows or achieved high scores from Metacritic (i.e. 90+).\n\nSee also:\n\n[markets]","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/cash%2F55b035b8257c.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-26T18:45:17.688000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5175.731062336887,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.454633712768555,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:49:49.678649Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:49:49.678649Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T06:45:20.405190Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-a-critically-acclaimed-video-g-9a7eb9a3597a","event_title":"Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uNTCQirqLmaMtbl4HH34","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:29:51.326231Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?\" — top market at 36% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}