{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uQSQXThrUeAj7fGWR8lv","as_of":"2026-10-24T05:18:21.762804Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?\" — 4% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uQSQXThrUeAj7fGWR8lv","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-run-for-pres"},"source":"manifold","id":"uQSQXThrUeAj7fGWR8lv","ticker":null,"slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-run-for-pres","title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?","description":null,"image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FibKwVd4G9c.png?alt=media&token=c13bb025-5a79-4263-806d-55d4e92d9c04","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-11-20T18:28:15.445000Z","end_date":"2060-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3128.3632597059204,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.830364227294922,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.039194,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?","top_outcome_probability":0.039194,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T23:21:11.344315Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T23:21:11.344315Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-run-for-pres","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uQSQXThrUeAj7fGWR8lv","event_id":"uQSQXThrUeAj7fGWR8lv","slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-run-for-pres","question":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FibKwVd4G9c.png?alt=media&token=c13bb025-5a79-4263-806d-55d4e92d9c04","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.039194,0.960806],"probability":0.039194,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-11-20T18:28:15.445000Z","end_date":"2060-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3128.3632597059204,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.830364227294922,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T23:20:21.274638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T23:20:21.274638Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-run-for-pres","event_title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?","chart_24h":null}]}