{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uWTeJomYesQMgdN1Bppv","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:55:50.132912Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?\" — 69% as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uWTeJomYesQMgdN1Bppv","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/becauseyoudo/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-before-2"},"source":"manifold","id":"uWTeJomYesQMgdN1Bppv","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-before-2","title":"Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?","description":"Will there be a general consensus among economists that markets significantly overvalued AI companies at any point during this decade?\n\nThis market will close early and resolve as YES if there is clear evidence of a bubble before the resolution date. It will resolve as NO if there is still no clear evidence of an AI valuation bubble by the resolution date.\n\nRelated Markets\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/marnet/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-in-2023)","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F3o8NGbruTP.png?alt=media&token=612a36d2-7651-4d89-9a4b-498068a5ac06","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-22T13:02:59.258000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21807.3764200498,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.713592529296875,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.685526,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.685526,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T15:27:42.110013Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T15:27:42.110013Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/becauseyoudo/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-before-2","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uWTeJomYesQMgdN1Bppv","event_id":"uWTeJomYesQMgdN1Bppv","slug":"will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-before-2","question":"Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will there be a general consensus among economists that markets significantly overvalued AI companies at any point during this decade?\n\nThis market will close early and resolve as YES if there is clear evidence of a bubble before the resolution date. It will resolve as NO if there is still no clear evidence of an AI valuation bubble by the resolution date.\n\nRelated Markets\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/marnet/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-in-2023)","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F3o8NGbruTP.png?alt=media&token=612a36d2-7651-4d89-9a4b-498068a5ac06","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.685526,0.314474],"probability":0.685526,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-22T13:02:59.258000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":21807.3764200498,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.713592529296875,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T15:25:37.899522Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T15:25:37.899522Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/becauseyoudo/will-there-be-an-ai-bubble-before-2","event_title":"Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}