{"source":"manifold","id":"uen0VZN0moO94pa4Wonb","ticker":null,"slug":"will-joe-biden-born-20-november-194","title":"Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?","description":"This market will resolve when either Joe Biden or Vladimir Putin is pronounced dead, or on 1st January 2030 if both remain alive.\n\nApr 1, 11:06pm: In the unlikely event that both men are still alive on 1st January 2030, the market will be resolved as void (N/A).","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-03-31T21:14:31.563000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26929.808166490948,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.5374870300293,"liquidity":6395.997537741627,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.194016,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?","top_outcome_probability":0.194016,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-09T21:00:31.209466Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T21:00:31.209466Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jonjordanc3f0/will-joe-biden-born-20-november-194","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uen0VZN0moO94pa4Wonb","event_id":"uen0VZN0moO94pa4Wonb","slug":"will-joe-biden-born-20-november-194","question":"Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve when either Joe Biden or Vladimir Putin is pronounced dead, or on 1st January 2030 if both remain alive.\n\nApr 1, 11:06pm: In the unlikely event that both men are still alive on 1st January 2030, the market will be resolved as void (N/A).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.194016,0.805984],"probability":0.194016,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-03-31T21:14:31.563000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26929.808166490948,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.5374870300293,"liquidity":6395.997537741627,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Russian Federation"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T18:07:00.828114Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T20:57:28.763072Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jonjordanc3f0/will-joe-biden-born-20-november-194","event_title":"Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uen0VZN0moO94pa4Wonb","as_of":"2026-09-09T02:26:09.621203Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}