{"source":"manifold","id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","title":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","description":"Will result in YES:\n\nIf tesla ever reaches market cap of \n\n2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.\n\nCurrently: \n\nMarket cap is at 758 000 000 000$\n\nWitch is 37.9% of 2T\n\n[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Aizej%2Fc95aa56131d6.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T11:02:17.412000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34849.201452898225,"volume_24hr":226.5473035704663,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.193721771240234,"normalized_volume":40.50984191894531,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["technology-default","stocks","finance","elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e","tesla"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.692918,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.692918,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.032426999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":119.32044745349009,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:54.256051Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:54.256051Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","chart_24h":[0.660491,0.674842,0.674842,0.674842,0.674842,0.674842,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.670613,0.696312,0.696312,0.696312,0.692918,0.692918],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","event_id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","slug":"will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","question":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will result in YES:\n\nIf tesla ever reaches market cap of \n\n2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.\n\nCurrently: \n\nMarket cap is at 758 000 000 000$\n\nWitch is 37.9% of 2T\n\n[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Aizej%2Fc95aa56131d6.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.692918,0.307082],"probability":0.692918,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T11:02:17.412000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34849.201452898225,"volume_24hr":226.5473035704663,"prob_24h_change":0.032426999999999984,"volume_24h_change":119.32044745349009,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.16313362121582,"normalized_volume":40.50984191894531,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:28.401686Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:28.401686Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","event_title":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","chart_24h":[0.660491,0.674842,0.674842,0.674842,0.674842,0.674842,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.642966,0.670613,0.696312,0.696312,0.696312,0.692918,0.692918]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","as_of":"2026-09-08T19:42:48.359278Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?\" — top market at 69% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}