{"source":"manifold","id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","title":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","description":"Will result in YES:\n\nIf tesla ever reaches market cap of \n\n2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.\n\nCurrently: \n\nMarket cap is at 758 000 000 000$\n\nWitch is 37.9% of 2T\n\n[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Aizej%2Fc95aa56131d6.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T11:02:17.412000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30702.012802246238,"volume_24hr":199.11950445258083,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.609760284423828,"normalized_volume":40.029937744140625,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["technology-default","stocks","finance","elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e","tesla"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.594151,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.594151,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-228.25637585249507,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:00:51.852672Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T17:00:51.852672Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","chart_24h":[0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","event_id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","slug":"will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","question":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will result in YES:\n\nIf tesla ever reaches market cap of \n\n2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.\n\nCurrently: \n\nMarket cap is at 758 000 000 000$\n\nWitch is 37.9% of 2T\n\n[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Aizej%2Fc95aa56131d6.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.594151,0.405849],"probability":0.594151,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T11:02:17.412000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30702.012802246238,"volume_24hr":199.11950445258083,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-228.25637585249507,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.609760284423828,"normalized_volume":40.029937744140625,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:00:55.714002Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T17:00:20.445366Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","event_title":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","chart_24h":[0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151,0.594151]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","as_of":"2026-07-25T17:10:38.727267Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?\" — top market at 59% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}