{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:00:23.868772Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?\" — 61% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by"},"source":"manifold","id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","title":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","description":"Will result in YES:\n\nIf tesla ever reaches market cap of \n\n2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.\n\nCurrently: \n\nMarket cap is at 758 000 000 000$\n\nWitch is 37.9% of 2T\n\n[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Aizej%2Fc95aa56131d6.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T11:02:17.412000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37201.443052902236,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.73785400390625,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.61303,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.61303,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-55.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T13:09:43.743406Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T13:09:43.743406Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","chart_24h":[0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","event_id":"uxBOlUXOUtC6OLZnwxdz","slug":"will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","question":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will result in YES:\n\nIf tesla ever reaches market cap of \n\n2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.\n\nCurrently: \n\nMarket cap is at 758 000 000 000$\n\nWitch is 37.9% of 2T\n\n[image]Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Aizej%2Fc95aa56131d6.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.61303,0.38697],"probability":0.61303,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T11:02:17.412000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":37201.443052902236,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-55.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.73785400390625,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T13:07:54.962853Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T13:07:54.962853Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aizej/will-tesla-be-worth-more-than-2t-by","event_title":"Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?","chart_24h":[0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303,0.61303]}]}