{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vBTiPDbmRyP4VlSOpOwf","as_of":"2026-11-10T19:53:56.347236Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?\" — 16% as of 2026-11-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vBTiPDbmRyP4VlSOpOwf","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-15-or-more"},"source":"manifold","id":"vBTiPDbmRyP4VlSOpOwf","ticker":null,"slug":"will-us-unemployment-be-15-or-more","title":"Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?","description":"\"unemployment\" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThe highest ever recorded monthly US unemployment rate was in April 2020, at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, at 14.7%.\n\nSee data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:\n\n(https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1cpNO&width=670&height=475)Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 15% or more in any month before the end of this decade?\n\nSee also:\n\n@/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-10-or-more \n\n@/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-20-or-more \n\n@/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-25-or-more ","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/cash%2Fdde943b99d96.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-26T04:49:46.576000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3590.5286777624697,"volume_24hr":250.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.78538703918457,"normalized_volume":24.621673583984375,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.155799,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.155799,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":250.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-10T19:42:22.979008Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T19:42:22.979008Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T08:13:11.477492Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-15-or-more","chart_24h":[0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"vBTiPDbmRyP4VlSOpOwf","event_id":"vBTiPDbmRyP4VlSOpOwf","slug":"will-us-unemployment-be-15-or-more","question":"Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"\"unemployment\" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThe highest ever recorded monthly US unemployment rate was in April 2020, at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, at 14.7%.\n\nSee data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:\n\n(https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1cpNO&width=670&height=475)Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 15% or more in any month before the end of this decade?\n\nSee also:\n\n@/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-10-or-more \n\n@/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-20-or-more \n\n@/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-25-or-more ","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/cash%2Fdde943b99d96.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.155799,0.844201],"probability":0.155799,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-26T04:49:46.576000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3590.5286777624697,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.78538703918457,"normalized_volume":24.621673583984375,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T19:41:29.044636Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T19:41:29.044636Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T08:13:11.477492Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-15-or-more","event_title":"Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799,0.155799]}]}