{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vZHLcguyXmZDnNlhPQ68","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:09:56.112190Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?\" — 18% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vZHLcguyXmZDnNlhPQ68","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/humblestumble/will-climate-change-be-successfully"},"source":"manifold","id":"vZHLcguyXmZDnNlhPQ68","ticker":null,"slug":"will-climate-change-be-successfully","title":"Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?","description":"Are we DOOMED or will Bill Gates save us? \n\nIf global warming is under 2°C at the end of 2045 this resolves YES, otherwies NO.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F_70sOGZPpt.png?alt=media&token=8e7baebd-6040-4ba7-957e-3a11dc99d6d4","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-17T15:47:06.319000Z","end_date":"2045-12-17T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14297.629624065372,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.67136764526367,"liquidity":1320.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.18472,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?","top_outcome_probability":0.18472,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/humblestumble/will-climate-change-be-successfully","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"vZHLcguyXmZDnNlhPQ68","event_id":"vZHLcguyXmZDnNlhPQ68","slug":"will-climate-change-be-successfully","question":"Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Are we DOOMED or will Bill Gates save us? \n\nIf global warming is under 2°C at the end of 2045 this resolves YES, otherwies NO.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F_70sOGZPpt.png?alt=media&token=8e7baebd-6040-4ba7-957e-3a11dc99d6d4","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.18472,0.81528],"probability":0.18472,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-17T15:47:06.319000Z","end_date":"2045-12-17T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":14297.629624065372,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.67136764526367,"liquidity":1320.0,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/humblestumble/will-climate-change-be-successfully","event_title":"Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?","chart_24h":null}]}