{"source":"manifold","id":"vgw5ckzp3z","ticker":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":"2028-republican-nominee","title":"2028 Republican nominee?","description":"Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to \"Yes\" for the candidate officially nominated by the Republican Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Republican National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to \"No.\"","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/predyx_markets/bmuflif2bq.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":965045.9448438205,"volume_24hr":295.4245973749092,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.38250160217285,"normalized_volume":70.32176971435547,"liquidity":49000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["politics-default","us-politics","donald-trump","magaland","2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zly"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"JD Vance","top_outcome_probability":0.463535,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.005292999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-82.29847231355961,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:51:06.279598Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:51:06.279598Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","chart_24h":[11.0,11.0,139.32919269470108,295.4245973749092],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"whnu417ryi","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"JD Vance","group_item_title":"JD Vance","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.463535,0.536465],"probability":0.463535,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":135053.71353587427,"volume_24hr":29.701527686440386,"prob_24h_change":0.005292999999999992,"volume_24h_change":-82.29847231355961,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.187195777893066,"normalized_volume":51.68304443359375,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:24.966357Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.458242,0.458242,0.458242,0.458242,0.458242,0.458242,0.458242,0.458242,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.461111,0.463535,0.463535,0.463535]},{"source":"manifold","id":"pqvid9tobs","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Marco Rubio","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.212957,0.787043],"probability":0.212957,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":583650.0739483988,"volume_24hr":265.7230696885381,"prob_24h_change":-0.007696999999999982,"volume_24h_change":265.7230696885381,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.44955062866211,"normalized_volume":65.28289794921875,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:24.966357Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.220654,0.220654,0.220654,0.220654,0.220654,0.220654,0.220654,0.220654,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.216989,0.212957,0.212957,0.212957]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ngqiy5ban0","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.098,0.902],"probability":0.098,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3861.480801893055,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005799999999999972,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.26140022277832,"liquidity":4882.861181870605,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.09742,0.09742,0.09742,0.09742,0.09742,0.09742,0.09742,0.09742,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.097613,0.098,0.098,0.098]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NOCpcIhEQu","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Tucker Carlson","group_item_title":"Tucker Carlson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.035128,0.964872],"probability":0.035128,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-22T21:28:59.956000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34214.21386307883,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0003459999999999991,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.36751937866211,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.034782,0.034782,0.034782,0.034782,0.034782,0.034782,0.034782,0.034782,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.034897,0.035128,0.035128,0.035128]},{"source":"manifold","id":"u20tf81og5","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Ron Desantis","group_item_title":"Ron Desantis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.027443,0.972557],"probability":0.027443,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4850.843017090286,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00027299999999999894,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.67569351196289,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.02717,0.02717,0.02717,0.02717,0.02717,0.02717,0.02717,0.02717,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.02726,0.027443,0.027443,0.027443]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cAc0L0LI0P","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump Jr","group_item_title":"Donald Trump Jr","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.027275,0.972725],"probability":0.027275,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-04-01T21:35:46.922000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14067.03749386764,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000341000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.787296295166016,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.026934,0.026934,0.026934,0.026934,0.026934,0.026934,0.026934,0.026934,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027047,0.027275,0.027275,0.027275]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cahheaihzs","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump Sr.","group_item_title":"Donald Trump Sr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.021548,0.978452],"probability":0.021548,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9956.407551715458,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00014199999999999977,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.38661003112793,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.021406,0.021406,0.021406,0.021406,0.021406,0.021406,0.021406,0.021406,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021453,0.021548,0.021548,0.021548]},{"source":"manifold","id":"UhLUgzsCAn","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Thomas Massie","group_item_title":"Thomas Massie","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.020961,0.979039],"probability":0.020961,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T23:29:07.040000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":652.9548924376671,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00015400000000000136,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.565133094787598,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T23:36:23.133498Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.020807,0.020807,0.020807,0.020807,0.020807,0.020807,0.020807,0.020807,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020858,0.020961,0.020961,0.020961]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CEOdpnIdUh","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Ted Cruz","group_item_title":"Ted Cruz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.019589,0.980411],"probability":0.019589,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-22T21:28:18.146000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7643.845093432829,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00015099999999999836,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.610401153564453,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.019438,0.019438,0.019438,0.019438,0.019438,0.019438,0.019438,0.019438,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019488,0.019589,0.019589,0.019589]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5OlLI99Qs5","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Pete Hegseth","group_item_title":"Pete Hegseth","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.016308,0.983692],"probability":0.016308,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T23:30:47.054000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":88.44847331883649,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00010500000000000093,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.47819185256958,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T23:36:23.133498Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.016203,0.016203,0.016203,0.016203,0.016203,0.016203,0.016203,0.016203,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016238,0.016308,0.016308,0.016308]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QCh52sdOch","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Rand Paul","group_item_title":"Rand Paul","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.015494,0.984506],"probability":0.015494,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T23:29:36.169000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1083.1597483570254,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00009800000000000086,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.087190628051758,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":"2026-05-26T23:36:23.133498Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.015396,0.015396,0.015396,0.015396,0.015396,0.015396,0.015396,0.015396,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015428,0.015494,0.015494,0.015494]},{"source":"manifold","id":"SPlNn8zdIA","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","group_item_title":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0108,0.9892],"probability":0.0108,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T08:46:56.633000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14171.059427653181,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00006600000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.83943557739258,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.010734,0.010734,0.010734,0.010734,0.010734,0.010734,0.010734,0.010734,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.010756,0.0108,0.0108,0.0108]},{"source":"manifold","id":"PgAydc8p0L","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Nick Fuentes","group_item_title":"Nick Fuentes","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006593,0.993407],"probability":0.006593,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-22T21:28:37.079000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4978.070842382682,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000029999999999999645,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.83865737915039,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.006563,0.006563,0.006563,0.006563,0.006563,0.006563,0.006563,0.006563,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006573,0.006593,0.006593,0.006593]},{"source":"manifold","id":"xm0z895bb1","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Glenn Youngkin","group_item_title":"Glenn Youngkin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006139,0.993861],"probability":0.006139,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":892.4964097408922,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000037000000000000574,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.099868774414062,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.006102,0.006102,0.006102,0.006102,0.006102,0.006102,0.006102,0.006102,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006114,0.006139,0.006139,0.006139]},{"source":"manifold","id":"rtd70n1qug","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Nikki Haley","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005184,0.994816],"probability":0.005184,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":368.64370021894285,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00002300000000000045,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.946244239807129,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.005161,0.005161,0.005161,0.005161,0.005161,0.005161,0.005161,0.005161,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005169,0.005184,0.005184,0.005184]},{"source":"manifold","id":"v96t3lbl4q","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Vivek Ramaswamy","group_item_title":"Vivek Ramaswamy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.004983,0.995017],"probability":0.004983,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3699.57535617236,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.00002199999999999945,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.00012969970703,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.004961,0.004961,0.004961,0.004961,0.004961,0.004961,0.004961,0.004961,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004968,0.004983,0.004983,0.004983]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hnnhgC8u8s","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Tulsi Gabbard","group_item_title":"Tulsi Gabbard","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003523,0.996477],"probability":0.003523,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-04-01T21:39:07.432000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2765.671839695136,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000015000000000000256,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.261520385742188,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.003508,0.003508,0.003508,0.003508,0.003508,0.003508,0.003508,0.003508,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003513,0.003523,0.003523,0.003523]},{"source":"manifold","id":"swhmo2adp5","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Greg Abbott","group_item_title":"Greg Abbott","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003133,0.996867],"probability":0.003133,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":345.68130533865707,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000014999999999999823,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.666910171508789,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.003118,0.003118,0.003118,0.003118,0.003118,0.003118,0.003118,0.003118,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003123,0.003133,0.003133,0.003133]},{"source":"manifold","id":"st1xmsqxml","event_id":"vgw5ckzp3z","slug":null,"question":"Paul Ryan","group_item_title":"Paul Ryan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001407,0.998593],"probability":0.001407,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-14T05:38:30.352000Z","end_date":"2028-09-06T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":5.000000000000013e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.4364261627197266,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:48:28.081972Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:47:18.144842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/2028-republican-nominee","event_title":"2028 Republican nominee?","chart_24h":[0.001402,0.001402,0.001402,0.001402,0.001402,0.001402,0.001402,0.001402,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001404,0.001407,0.001407,0.001407]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vgw5ckzp3z","as_of":"2026-09-09T00:54:12.744721Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"2028 Republican nominee?\" — top market at 21% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}