{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vkaeOaiyXiMUGyTNbbta","as_of":"2026-10-24T10:27:18.467672Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?\" — 24% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/vkaeOaiyXiMUGyTNbbta","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/SanghyeonSeo/will-there-be-more-software-enginee"},"source":"manifold","id":"vkaeOaiyXiMUGyTNbbta","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-more-software-enginee","title":"Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?","description":"François Chollet tweeted (2024-03-14) https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1767935813646716976\n\nPrediction: there will be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in five years than there are today.\n\nWill this be the case?\n\nUpdate 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full-Time Professional Software Engineers\n\nCounts refer exclusively to individuals who work as full-time professional software engineers (i.e. those writing code in languages such as Python, C, or JavaScript, among others).\n\nPart-time, hobbyist, or non-professional developers are not included.\n\nUpdate 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Global Scope Clarification\n\nThe count of full-time professional software engineers applies globally, not restricted to any specific region such as the US\n\nAll criteria regarding what constitutes a full-time professional software engineer remain the same","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-13T17:29:12.667000Z","end_date":"2029-03-14T14:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":58819.44781536672,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.3616828918457,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.23534,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?","top_outcome_probability":0.23534,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T07:39:20.952351Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T07:39:20.952351Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SanghyeonSeo/will-there-be-more-software-enginee","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"vkaeOaiyXiMUGyTNbbta","event_id":"vkaeOaiyXiMUGyTNbbta","slug":"will-there-be-more-software-enginee","question":"Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?","group_item_title":null,"description":"François Chollet tweeted (2024-03-14) https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1767935813646716976\n\nPrediction: there will be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in five years than there are today.\n\nWill this be the case?\n\nUpdate 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full-Time Professional Software Engineers\n\nCounts refer exclusively to individuals who work as full-time professional software engineers (i.e. those writing code in languages such as Python, C, or JavaScript, among others).\n\nPart-time, hobbyist, or non-professional developers are not included.\n\nUpdate 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Global Scope Clarification\n\nThe count of full-time professional software engineers applies globally, not restricted to any specific region such as the US\n\nAll criteria regarding what constitutes a full-time professional software engineer remain the same","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.23534,0.76466],"probability":0.23534,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-13T17:29:12.667000Z","end_date":"2029-03-14T14:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":58819.44781536672,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.3616828918457,"liquidity":10000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T07:37:38.915290Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T07:37:38.915290Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SanghyeonSeo/will-there-be-more-software-enginee","event_title":"Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?","chart_24h":null}]}