{"source":"manifold","id":"xzgHKgmZdZO2FNtwXN6I","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-a-us-president-who-id","title":"Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?","description":"Remaining election cycles in 2024, 2028, and 2032.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-10-29T22:34:41.352000Z","end_date":"2036-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11481.64946517977,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.808345794677734,"liquidity":1835.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.553172,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?","top_outcome_probability":0.553172,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-there-be-a-us-president-who-id","chart_24h":[0.553172,0.553172],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"xzgHKgmZdZO2FNtwXN6I","event_id":"xzgHKgmZdZO2FNtwXN6I","slug":"will-there-be-a-us-president-who-id","question":"Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Remaining election cycles in 2024, 2028, and 2032.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.553172,0.446828],"probability":0.553172,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-10-29T22:34:41.352000Z","end_date":"2036-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11481.64946517977,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.808345794677734,"liquidity":1835.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-there-be-a-us-president-who-id","event_title":"Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?","chart_24h":[0.553172,0.553172]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/xzgHKgmZdZO2FNtwXN6I","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:35:21.489733Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be a US president who identifies as female by end of 2035?\" — top market at 55% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}