{"source":"manifold","id":"y6PcZ9gZp9","ticker":null,"slug":"will-fable-usage-on-subscription-be-cI8E2O6scE","title":"Will Fable usage on subscription be extended again past July 19?","description":"When Fable was re-enabled on June 30, it was made available to subscription users until July 7. On July 7, it was extended until July 12. On July 12, it was extended until July 19. Will it get extended again?\n\nhttps://www.anthropic.com/news/redeploying-fable-5\n\nIf Fable is extended only for Max 20x subscribers, that still counts as being available via subscription and would resolve YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-12T17:30:14.875000Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5790.846422304306,"volume_24hr":1573.0747838035863,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.27698516845703,"normalized_volume":28.160823822021484,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["fable","claude","anthropic","ai","us-govt-ai-policy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.704179,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Fable usage on subscription be extended again past July 19?","top_outcome_probability":0.704179,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19213499999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1044.315877077077,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:30:07.159356Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:30:07.159356Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T13:48:50.539724Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Gurkenglas/will-fable-usage-on-subscription-be-cI8E2O6scE","chart_24h":[0.512044,0.465346,0.460778,0.514063,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59842,0.59842,0.65,0.704179],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"y6PcZ9gZp9","event_id":"y6PcZ9gZp9","slug":"will-fable-usage-on-subscription-be-cI8E2O6scE","question":"Will Fable usage on subscription be extended again past July 19?","group_item_title":null,"description":"When Fable was re-enabled on June 30, it was made available to subscription users until July 7. On July 7, it was extended until July 12. On July 12, it was extended until July 19. Will it get extended again?\n\nhttps://www.anthropic.com/news/redeploying-fable-5\n\nIf Fable is extended only for Max 20x subscribers, that still counts as being available via subscription and would resolve YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.704179,0.295821],"probability":0.704179,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-12T17:30:14.875000Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5790.846422304306,"volume_24hr":1573.0747838035863,"prob_24h_change":0.19213499999999994,"volume_24h_change":1044.315877077077,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.96696090698242,"normalized_volume":28.160823822021484,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:29:18.082678Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:29:18.082678Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T13:48:50.539724Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Gurkenglas/will-fable-usage-on-subscription-be-cI8E2O6scE","event_title":"Will Fable usage on subscription be extended again past July 19?","chart_24h":[0.512044,0.465346,0.460778,0.514063,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59842,0.59842,0.65,0.704179]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/y6PcZ9gZp9","as_of":"2026-07-17T10:55:06.686864Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Fable usage on subscription be extended again past July 19?\" — top market at 70% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}