{"source":"manifold","id":"yQeLTApzKi8E2kjWKF3q","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-a-major-paradigm-shif","title":"Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?","description":"Criteria:\n\nYES Resolution: This question resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2040, there is a widely recognized and significant paradigm shift in the field of physics, changing our fundamental understanding of the universe in a way comparable to the shift from Newtonian to Modern Physics.\n\nNO Resolution: If no such paradigm shift is recognized by the end of 2040, the market resolves to NO.\n\nRecognition of Shift: The shift must be acknowledged by the scientific community and reported in major scientific publications or mainstream media as a \"fundamental change in the understanding of physical laws or principles\".\n\nUnderstanding 'Paradigm Shift': A paradigm shift, in this context, refers to a fundamental change in the basic concepts, experimental practices, and theories that form the foundation of scientific understanding in physics.\n\nAreas of Potential Shift: Key areas that could indicate such a shift include the unification of gravity and quantum mechanics, significant revelations about dark matter and dark energy, advancements in Quantum Field Theory, emergent phenomena in complex systems, transformative technological innovations, unexpected experimental discoveries, or major philosophical or conceptual shifts .etc.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Latte_Horse%2Fe2adffa0c34b.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-14T12:56:01.847000Z","end_date":"2041-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16596.322014174155,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.44472122192383,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.3,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?","top_outcome_probability":0.3,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Latte_Horse/will-there-be-a-major-paradigm-shif","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"yQeLTApzKi8E2kjWKF3q","event_id":"yQeLTApzKi8E2kjWKF3q","slug":"will-there-be-a-major-paradigm-shif","question":"Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Criteria:\n\nYES Resolution: This question resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2040, there is a widely recognized and significant paradigm shift in the field of physics, changing our fundamental understanding of the universe in a way comparable to the shift from Newtonian to Modern Physics.\n\nNO Resolution: If no such paradigm shift is recognized by the end of 2040, the market resolves to NO.\n\nRecognition of Shift: The shift must be acknowledged by the scientific community and reported in major scientific publications or mainstream media as a \"fundamental change in the understanding of physical laws or principles\".\n\nUnderstanding 'Paradigm Shift': A paradigm shift, in this context, refers to a fundamental change in the basic concepts, experimental practices, and theories that form the foundation of scientific understanding in physics.\n\nAreas of Potential Shift: Key areas that could indicate such a shift include the unification of gravity and quantum mechanics, significant revelations about dark matter and dark energy, advancements in Quantum Field Theory, emergent phenomena in complex systems, transformative technological innovations, unexpected experimental discoveries, or major philosophical or conceptual shifts .etc.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Latte_Horse%2Fe2adffa0c34b.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-14T12:56:01.847000Z","end_date":"2041-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16596.322014174155,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.44472122192383,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-29T16:20:38.082493Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Latte_Horse/will-there-be-a-major-paradigm-shif","event_title":"Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/yQeLTApzKi8E2kjWKF3q","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:33:28.790678Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?\" — top market at 30% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}