{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/yY00cXG1BSYOvNT9TFAv","as_of":"2026-10-24T09:10:31.965263Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump die in prison?\" — 5% as of 2026-07-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/yY00cXG1BSYOvNT9TFAv","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Ernie/will-trump-die-in-prison"},"source":"manifold","id":"yY00cXG1BSYOvNT9TFAv","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-die-in-prison","title":"Will Trump die in prison?","description":"Prison, jail, or other types of custody all count. It must be a place he was relocated to under the control of authorities.   No due date.  US or other nation's custody both count. If he escapes the location of constraint he doesn't count as in jail any longer. If he escapes control within a prison but is still within its confines it counts. ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2Fhj7LpXphzg.png?alt=media&token=d0933b4b-ffaf-4208-b0e5-c7ccbadc8c4a","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-18T03:59:26.035000Z","end_date":"2101-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13380.314644155702,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.20630645751953,"liquidity":1720.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.047615,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump die in prison?","top_outcome_probability":0.047615,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T20:07:57.220567Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T20:07:57.220567Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ernie/will-trump-die-in-prison","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"yY00cXG1BSYOvNT9TFAv","event_id":"yY00cXG1BSYOvNT9TFAv","slug":"will-trump-die-in-prison","question":"Will Trump die in prison?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Prison, jail, or other types of custody all count. It must be a place he was relocated to under the control of authorities.   No due date.  US or other nation's custody both count. If he escapes the location of constraint he doesn't count as in jail any longer. If he escapes control within a prison but is still within its confines it counts. ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2Fhj7LpXphzg.png?alt=media&token=d0933b4b-ffaf-4208-b0e5-c7ccbadc8c4a","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.047615,0.952385],"probability":0.047615,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-18T03:59:26.035000Z","end_date":"2101-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13380.314644155702,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.20630645751953,"liquidity":1720.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T20:05:23.946555Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ernie/will-trump-die-in-prison","event_title":"Will Trump die in prison?","chart_24h":null}]}