{"source":"manifold","id":"yeasovsokz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-twitter-be-profitable-before-2","title":"Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?","description":"This market predicts whether Elon Musk or any member of Twitter's C-level management will publicly claim that Twitter has become profitable before December 31, 2026. Claims can be made through any official channel, including but not limited to press releases, interviews, social media posts, or public statements. The profitability claim must be clear and unambiguous, specifying that Twitter is operating at a profit. Announcements solely based on future projections or speculative statements will not count. This market resolves to 'Yes' if such a claim is made before the specified date, and 'No' otherwise\n\nUpdate 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Positive EBITDA alone is not enough to satisfy the claim requirement. This update clarifies that:\n\nThe claim must explicitly state that Twitter is operating at a profit\n\nMerely citing financial metrics (e.g., positive EBITDA) without a clear statement of operating profit will not count\n\nUpdate 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Profitability Claim:\n\nThe claim must explicitly state that Twitter is operating at a profit.\n\nAmbiguous phrases like “barely breaking even” do not meet the requirement.\n\nThe statement should confirm that Twitter’s revenue exceeds all costs, resulting in a positive net profit.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/FedorShabashev/6dc482ug6g.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-17T05:14:36.077000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6916.897049139958,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.34809112548828,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.479199,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.479199,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FedorShabashev/will-twitter-be-profitable-before-2","chart_24h":[0.479199,0.479199],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"yeasovsokz","event_id":"yeasovsokz","slug":"will-twitter-be-profitable-before-2","question":"Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market predicts whether Elon Musk or any member of Twitter's C-level management will publicly claim that Twitter has become profitable before December 31, 2026. Claims can be made through any official channel, including but not limited to press releases, interviews, social media posts, or public statements. The profitability claim must be clear and unambiguous, specifying that Twitter is operating at a profit. Announcements solely based on future projections or speculative statements will not count. This market resolves to 'Yes' if such a claim is made before the specified date, and 'No' otherwise\n\nUpdate 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Positive EBITDA alone is not enough to satisfy the claim requirement. This update clarifies that:\n\nThe claim must explicitly state that Twitter is operating at a profit\n\nMerely citing financial metrics (e.g., positive EBITDA) without a clear statement of operating profit will not count\n\nUpdate 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Profitability Claim:\n\nThe claim must explicitly state that Twitter is operating at a profit.\n\nAmbiguous phrases like “barely breaking even” do not meet the requirement.\n\nThe statement should confirm that Twitter’s revenue exceeds all costs, resulting in a positive net profit.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/FedorShabashev/6dc482ug6g.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.479199,0.520801],"probability":0.479199,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-17T05:14:36.077000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6916.897049139958,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.34809112548828,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FedorShabashev/will-twitter-be-profitable-before-2","event_title":"Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.479199,0.479199]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/yeasovsokz","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:38:10.521440Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Twitter claim to be profitable before 2027?\" — top market at 48% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}