{"source":"manifold","id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","ticker":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":"who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","description":"Resolves to the individual nominated at the Republican National Convention in 2028.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22141.7587861501,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.579341888427734,"liquidity":1295.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":["us-politics","politics-default","2024-us-presidential-election","donald-trump","magaland","future-us-presidents","2028"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"JD Vance","top_outcome_probability":0.338108,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2.0050405267506903,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:02:00.624467Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:02:00.624467Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"kwt4ao48k5","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"JD Vance","group_item_title":"JD Vance","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.338108,0.661892],"probability":0.338108,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-25T19:07:17.252000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2970.82895798466,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-2.0050405267506903,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.007049560546875,"liquidity":10.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108,0.338108]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0ipgf6m1ax","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Marco Rubio","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.279199,0.720801],"probability":0.279199,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-15T05:42:59.807000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5366.427379225413,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-6.207061201024771,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.68767547607422,"liquidity":10.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199,0.279199]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cf2c6883f4a1","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.071816,0.928184],"probability":0.071816,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.5068949018559,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.2699761390686035,"liquidity":82.39406239020349,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816,0.071816]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e42ee5ccdf7f","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Tucker Carlson","group_item_title":"Tucker Carlson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.057352,0.942648],"probability":0.057352,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":458.08495309514774,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.102771759033203,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352,0.057352]},{"source":"manifold","id":"587d601a07a2","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump Jr.","group_item_title":"Donald Trump Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.042185,0.957815],"probability":0.042185,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2447.823499556313,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.858909606933594,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185,0.042185]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cc79bf5244af","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Ron DeSantis","group_item_title":"Ron DeSantis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.029432,0.970568],"probability":0.029432,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":75.39812967954308,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.057681560516357,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432,0.029432]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8c8Us2ENls","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Rand Paul","group_item_title":"Rand Paul","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.024158,0.975842],"probability":0.024158,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-26T23:53:24.629000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T00:02:48.086258Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158,0.024158]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LlSNngIlN2","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Thomas Massie","group_item_title":"Thomas Massie","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.023681,0.976319],"probability":0.023681,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-09T18:24:07.230000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.6145052909851074,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681,0.023681]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nCdIdsllql","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","group_item_title":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.02221,0.97779],"probability":0.02221,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-02T05:27:58.020000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.851705139689074,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.2344536781311035,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221,0.02221]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b8eaedd85f28","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.02177,0.97823],"probability":0.02177,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":762.5646270942801,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.54116439819336,"liquidity":63.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177,0.02177]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nuUquZqgyU","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Pete Hegseth","group_item_title":"Pete Hegseth","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.013857,0.986143],"probability":0.013857,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-10T03:16:19.785000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13.116870417837845,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.6310031414031982,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857,0.013857]},{"source":"manifold","id":"OCcyzs0U09","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Erika Kirk","group_item_title":"Erika Kirk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01015,0.98985],"probability":0.01015,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T09:14:07.069000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":359.681005081159,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.014472961425781,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015,0.01015]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8cc6ace9a47c","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Brian Kemp","group_item_title":"Brian Kemp","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.009283,0.990717],"probability":0.009283,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-26T21:20:20.554000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.451924129009399,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.304848313331604,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283,0.009283]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Lns8yzQ9Iz","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Tulsi Gabbard","group_item_title":"Tulsi Gabbard","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006739,0.993261],"probability":0.006739,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-15T02:14:05.429000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":540.44082159715,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.872282981872559,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739,0.006739]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Qhhdy0CQCR","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Stephen Miller","group_item_title":"Stephen Miller","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006668,0.993332],"probability":0.006668,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-10T05:24:28.658000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.705413776535693,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.3593484163284302,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668,0.006668]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ggUuSuCZ0O","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Mike Lee","group_item_title":"Mike Lee","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006122,0.993878],"probability":0.006122,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-28T17:02:40.840000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.247231165353696,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.2601099014282227,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122,0.006122]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0f42a0f7a39","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Nikki Haley","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006029,0.993971],"probability":0.006029,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":180.27958521745438,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.150918960571289,"liquidity":83.48131782731522,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029,0.006029]},{"source":"manifold","id":"pP6AOc9uUy","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Spencer Cox","group_item_title":"Spencer Cox","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00572,0.99428],"probability":0.00572,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-14T19:09:13.607000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.266707503178225,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.2018470764160156,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572,0.00572]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QnqQqs60yU","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Steve Bannon","group_item_title":"Steve Bannon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005256,0.994744],"probability":0.005256,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-15T05:31:31.146000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4.51771546708153,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.0950886011123657,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256,0.005256]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gE69cE6y2h","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Josh Hawley","group_item_title":"Josh Hawley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005201,0.994799],"probability":0.005201,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-20T21:56:56.023000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":646.6956683736156,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.731118202209473,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201,0.005201]},{"source":"manifold","id":"965d18541d87","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Ted Cruz","group_item_title":"Ted Cruz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.004919,0.995081],"probability":0.004919,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.43100972426027,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.529609680175781,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919,0.004919]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5a3c3b320e8a","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Glenn Youngkin","group_item_title":"Glenn Youngkin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003863,0.996137],"probability":0.003863,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.285805937942094,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.6785153150558472,"liquidity":63.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863,0.003863]},{"source":"manifold","id":"03b5fae38c7c","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Vivek Ramaswamy","group_item_title":"Vivek Ramaswamy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002839,0.997161],"probability":0.002839,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":108.30150883366052,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.271770477294922,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839,0.002839]},{"source":"manifold","id":"85dcfa2068a4","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Kristi Noem","group_item_title":"Kristi Noem","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002079,0.997921],"probability":0.002079,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.6189182577184056,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.8789534568786621,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079,0.002079]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0b0a851ac78d","event_id":"yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","slug":null,"question":"Tim Scott","group_item_title":"Tim Scott","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001365,0.998635],"probability":0.001365,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-31T16:37:30.031000Z","end_date":"2028-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.98832575205995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.17732733488082886,"liquidity":43.481317827315216,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:53.839483Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:07:48.964415Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/KnowNothing/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-ddb137fb97ec","event_title":"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365,0.001365]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/yjvglbUAK8pdZa1hpTEf","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:25:52.295231Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?\" — top market at 34% probability across 25 outcomes","source_url":null}}