{"source":"manifold","id":"yvO8aFh9mPu3ERkbHUgO","ticker":null,"slug":"by-eoy-2026-will-iphones-have-an-ai","title":"By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?","description":"Resolves YES if at any point before resolution the newest iPhone model ships with an installed feature or app that, when on, has access to a full record of everything you do on your phone (or a full record once you turn it on), which can be accessed by an AI. \n\nIt counts if you can toggle its access to certain apps or activities, or delete data or memory, or if you have to opt in to use it. \n\nIt does not count if you have to navigate to the app store and download something to get this to happen. \n\nResolves NO if this is not true continuously until the deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-21T18:12:46.429000Z","end_date":"2026-12-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14276.613487889386,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.35521697998047,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.115499,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?","top_outcome_probability":0.115499,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1904.7534720836911,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:03:00.966206Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:03:00.966206Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/by-eoy-2026-will-iphones-have-an-ai","chart_24h":[0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"yvO8aFh9mPu3ERkbHUgO","event_id":"yvO8aFh9mPu3ERkbHUgO","slug":"by-eoy-2026-will-iphones-have-an-ai","question":"By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if at any point before resolution the newest iPhone model ships with an installed feature or app that, when on, has access to a full record of everything you do on your phone (or a full record once you turn it on), which can be accessed by an AI. \n\nIt counts if you can toggle its access to certain apps or activities, or delete data or memory, or if you have to opt in to use it. \n\nIt does not count if you have to navigate to the app store and download something to get this to happen. \n\nResolves NO if this is not true continuously until the deadline.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.115499,0.884501],"probability":0.115499,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-21T18:12:46.429000Z","end_date":"2026-12-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14276.613487889386,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1904.7534720836911,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.35521697998047,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:08:33.312646Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:02:01.048245Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/by-eoy-2026-will-iphones-have-an-ai","event_title":"By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?","chart_24h":[0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499,0.115499]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/yvO8aFh9mPu3ERkbHUgO","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:50:58.696629Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?\" — top market at 12% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}