{"source":"manifold","id":"zIjFL4cxLmRUbeRKdgCh","ticker":null,"slug":"-2026-winner-is-lula-or-whoever-he","title":"🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027","description":"(English below)\n\nEste mercado resolve SIM se Lula, ou seu indicado nas eleições de 2026, for Presidente do Brasil na data original de fechamento do mercado [ver comentário]. Se Lula ou seu indicado perder as eleições, o mercado resolve NÃO, e se Lula não for candidato e não indicar ninguém, o mercado resolve como N/A. Também resolve como N/A se não houver eleições.\n\nResolve as YES if either Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or the candidate he endorses in the 2026 election is President of Brazil at the original closing date [see comment.] If Lula runs and loses, or his endorsee loses, resolve as NO. If Lula does not run and does not endorse anyone, resolve as N/A. Also resolve N/A if there are no elections.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FaBcOFP05Ad.png?alt=media&token=3b1df601-dc38-419a-9cdf-1141e0520c0c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-24T09:28:18.636000Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T14:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71842.78792640677,"volume_24hr":300.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.61880111694336,"normalized_volume":46.91015625,"liquidity":50511.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.607613,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.607613,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0023039999999999727,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":300.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T15:59:56.166531Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T15:59:56.166531Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/BrunoParga/-2026-winner-is-lula-or-whoever-he","chart_24h":[0.605309,0.607613,0.607613,0.607613],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"zIjFL4cxLmRUbeRKdgCh","event_id":"zIjFL4cxLmRUbeRKdgCh","slug":"-2026-winner-is-lula-or-whoever-he","question":"🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027","group_item_title":null,"description":"(English below)\n\nEste mercado resolve SIM se Lula, ou seu indicado nas eleições de 2026, for Presidente do Brasil na data original de fechamento do mercado [ver comentário]. Se Lula ou seu indicado perder as eleições, o mercado resolve NÃO, e se Lula não for candidato e não indicar ninguém, o mercado resolve como N/A. Também resolve como N/A se não houver eleições.\n\nResolve as YES if either Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or the candidate he endorses in the 2026 election is President of Brazil at the original closing date [see comment.] If Lula runs and loses, or his endorsee loses, resolve as NO. If Lula does not run and does not endorse anyone, resolve as N/A. Also resolve N/A if there are no elections.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FaBcOFP05Ad.png?alt=media&token=3b1df601-dc38-419a-9cdf-1141e0520c0c","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.607613,0.392387],"probability":0.607613,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-24T09:28:18.636000Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T14:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71842.78792640677,"volume_24hr":300.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0023039999999999727,"volume_24h_change":300.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.61880111694336,"normalized_volume":46.91015625,"liquidity":50511.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T18:24:47.030741Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T15:59:12.695984Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/BrunoParga/-2026-winner-is-lula-or-whoever-he","event_title":"🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027","chart_24h":[0.605309,0.607613,0.607613,0.607613]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/zIjFL4cxLmRUbeRKdgCh","as_of":"2026-07-13T07:47:13.430541Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027\" — top market at 61% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}