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Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.\n\nPost-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).\n\n≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.\n\nSources. Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ). Post-IPO market cap is public daily via standard market data. A single credible report is sufficient to resolve a threshold YES if not contradicted. Analyst estimates do not trigger resolution.\n\nSee also:\n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-NdEUcRyhds (this market)\n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end \n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-sLNqnZzNQg \n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-OzEn5Onucd \n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-qNOC0LpsRN \n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-SL8uUthtc9 \n\n@/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-pqg5Al80tp \n\n@/Bayesian/openai-highest-valuation-by-end-of-hZtdnzp2O2 \n\n@/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-l2tUNqpOc2 \n\n@/JoshYou/will-anthropic-achieve-a-revenue-ru 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