{"source":"myriad","id":"105144","ticker":null,"slug":"who-ipos-first-d112e68a-b7d1-4991-9f77-ca2db82cdc99","title":"Who IPOs first?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close after either of the companies has officially had its IPO.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Anthropic”** if Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI.\n- Resolves to **“OpenAI”** if OpenAI IPOs before Anthropic.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official communications by Anthropic and OpenAI.\n- To IPO, for the purposes of this market, is defined as an Initial Public Offering (IPO), also known as the process where a private company first sells shares to the public and thus transitioning into a publicly traded entity.\n- A confirmation of an IPO date alone will not trigger a resolution. Either IPO must occur and be publicly tradable on any exchange for it to count towards resolution.\n- Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. 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Either IPO must occur and be publicly tradable on any exchange for it to count towards resolution.\n- Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmbrmNvr61Kh7jwhrFXyk7oziru1PLaU4WZCNgoqsff2ae","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/b0ebb3cb-a4d2-4f5d-b2a7-b5399d616900/public","outcomes":["Anthropic","OpenAI"],"outcome_prices":[0.70449088,0.29550912],"probability":0.70449088,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T18:33:05Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10867.5497891,"volume_24hr":1.52,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-139.45091316999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1461483240127563,"normalized_volume":26.70016860961914,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:47:21.766421Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:26:47.472527Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/who-ipos-first-d112e68a-b7d1-4991-9f77-ca2db82cdc99","event_title":"Who IPOs first?","chart_24h":[0.70449088,0.70449088,0.70449088,0.70449088]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/105144","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:30:36.894525Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Who IPOs first?\" — top market at 70% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}