{"source":"myriad","id":"20780","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july-548f72a0-87bc-4557-b404-c336029d517d","title":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Donald Trump makes a formal offer to buy Greenland before Market Close.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- A formal offer is defined as a written proposal by President Trump or his administration that expresses serious intent to acquire part or all of Greenland and includes a proposed price.\n- Official reporting from the resolution sources that a formal offer consistent with the definitions of this market has been transmitted from POTUS to the Government of Denmark will trigger a successful “Yes” resolution, even if the written proposal is not made public.\n- The official [White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/) communication channels will serve as the primary resolution source for this market.\n- If the primary resolution source does not report on a formal offer it has made, the following secondary sources may be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, the [Government of Denmark](https://denmark.dk/)’s official communication channels, or reporting from [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP](https://apnews.com/), and [Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/).\n\n**Cancelation Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period.\n- The official White House channels are suspended, become unreliable or experience significant disruptions during the Market Period.\n- Donald Trump is removed as President of the United States of America for any reason.\n\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPpeBv7UcS6ntU64o5UZYZBtQY1iHSwx4wPgWNRMt2str","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/25dee060-dadd-4813-0989-f7c079d1ae00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T11:28:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46035.42417782,"volume_24hr":103.10326479,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.95320701599121,"normalized_volume":35.638916015625,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.05181351,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.05181351,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T16:38:14.749188Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T16:38:14.749188Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july-548f72a0-87bc-4557-b404-c336029d517d","chart_24h":[0.05181351,0.05181351],"markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"20780","event_id":"20780","slug":"will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july-548f72a0-87bc-4557-b404-c336029d517d","question":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","group_item_title":null,"description":"**Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Donald Trump makes a formal offer to buy Greenland before Market Close.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- A formal offer is defined as a written proposal by President Trump or his administration that expresses serious intent to acquire part or all of Greenland and includes a proposed price.\n- Official reporting from the resolution sources that a formal offer consistent with the definitions of this market has been transmitted from POTUS to the Government of Denmark will trigger a successful “Yes” resolution, even if the written proposal is not made public.\n- The official [White House](https://www.whitehouse.gov/) communication channels will serve as the primary resolution source for this market.\n- If the primary resolution source does not report on a formal offer it has made, the following secondary sources may be used: the White House official social media accounts, Donald Trump’s official social media accounts, the [Government of Denmark](https://denmark.dk/)’s official communication channels, or reporting from [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [AP](https://apnews.com/), and [Bloomberg](https://www.bloomberg.com/).\n\n**Cancelation Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period.\n- The official White House channels are suspended, become unreliable or experience significant disruptions during the Market Period.\n- Donald Trump is removed as President of the United States of America for any reason.\n\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPpeBv7UcS6ntU64o5UZYZBtQY1iHSwx4wPgWNRMt2str","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/25dee060-dadd-4813-0989-f7c079d1ae00/public","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05181351,0.94818649],"probability":0.05181351,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T11:28:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46035.42417782,"volume_24hr":103.10326479,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.95320701599121,"normalized_volume":35.638916015625,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:18:39.291155Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T16:38:12.924449Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-trump-make-a-formal-offer-to-acquire-greenland-before-july-548f72a0-87bc-4557-b404-c336029d517d","event_title":"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?","chart_24h":[0.05181351,0.05181351]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/20780","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:32:20.238309Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Will Trump make a formal offer to acquire Greenland before July?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}