{"source":"myriad","id":"22426","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","title":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target at any point during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Elon Musk’s net worth does not reach the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- The market resolves based solely on whether the USD 1 trillion threshold is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- Temporary spikes or brief crossings of the threshold do count, provided they are shown on the resolution source.\n- Updates, estimates, or reports published after the Market Close do not affect the outcome.\n- Media coverage from **Bloomberg, CNN, AP News, and Reuters** may be used as **secondary resolution sources** if it consistently reports that the threshold has been reached.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- If resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable, making it impossible to determine Elon Musk’s net worth during the Market Period.\n- Structural changes to the resolution source prevent reliable identification of the net worth figure.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaeATXWmz5YpzvseWrVAxSQ4sqGxjneSmFt4HGUi8SLAg","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e288d1ce-da0e-4b86-c25c-7bd3ba042f00/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-13T18:26:08Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24102.91388287,"volume_24hr":290.40780122,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.205894470214844,"normalized_volume":31.4729061126709,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.90661724,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","top_outcome_probability":0.90661724,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.011395750000000038,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":281.11682442,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:47:13.187436Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:47:13.187436Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","chart_24h":[0.89522149,0.90661724],"markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"22426","event_id":"22426","slug":"will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","question":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication until September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** After Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined.\n- **Market Target:** USD 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion US dollars)\n\n### **Yes/No Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Elon Musk’s estimated net worth reaches or exceeds the Market Target at any point during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if Elon Musk’s net worth does not reach the Market Target during the Market Period.\n\n### **Resolution Conditions:**\n\n- The market resolves based solely on whether the USD 1 trillion threshold is reached at any point during the Market Period.\n- Temporary spikes or brief crossings of the threshold do count, provided they are shown on the resolution source.\n- Updates, estimates, or reports published after the Market Close do not affect the outcome.\n- Media coverage from **Bloomberg, CNN, AP News, and Reuters** may be used as **secondary resolution sources** if it consistently reports that the threshold has been reached.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- If resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable, making it impossible to determine Elon Musk’s net worth during the Market Period.\n- Structural changes to the resolution source prevent reliable identification of the net worth figure.\n\nIf the market is cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaeATXWmz5YpzvseWrVAxSQ4sqGxjneSmFt4HGUi8SLAg","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/e288d1ce-da0e-4b86-c25c-7bd3ba042f00/public","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.90661724,0.09338276],"probability":0.90661724,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-13T18:26:08Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24102.91388287,"volume_24hr":290.40780122,"prob_24h_change":0.011395750000000038,"volume_24h_change":281.11682442,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.205894470214844,"normalized_volume":31.4729061126709,"liquidity":1500.0,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:47:21.766421Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:47:07.844801Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/will-elon-musk-become-a-trillionaire-before-q4-bec05e23-6ce5-44b2-9881-a43428fb0613","event_title":"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?","chart_24h":[0.89522149,0.90661724]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/22426","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:09:00.823359Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before Q4?\" — top market at 91% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}