{"source":"myriad","id":"317","ticker":null,"slug":"up-or-down-73d55889-f062-4d2a-b4ac-901d64a261ee","title":"Up or Down?","description":"**There are zero trading fees charged for this market.**\n\n**This market is a social sentiment experiment, is trading only, and will never be resolved towards either option.**\n\nWinning or losing? To be or not to be? *Up or Down?*\n\nQuestions that have been asked since the dawn of time, maybe even before. But is it more than a societal belief that pits us against each other?\n\nTo begin grasping a potential path to an answer, we must first acknowledge that there isn’t one. Like a caveman transported to Woodstock ‘69, we must attempt to understand the crowd that we are simultaneously part of and apart from—a crowd that behaves unpredictably based on predictable events and continues to surprise us while seemingly never changing.\n\nOnly then—once humbled, emboldened, and full of wonder—we can ask ourselves and the atoms around us the ever-ringing question, the itch at the back of our brains, the perpetrator of too many sleepless nights: **Up or Down?**\n\n**Market Period:** Infinite. Do not give heed to any calendar dates, as they are but a mere distraction\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- This market will not resolve\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- No resolution can be triggered in this market\n\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\nThis market will be canceled/invalid if:\n\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change of its contract that demands the cancelation of all active markets, or similar technical or business imperatives\n- Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist\n\n*In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmUw7i2DikGEqWbsWnYoiMZzHeY7ztsU39hAb9USWpWJjT","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/9130cf3b-d002-46e8-abd8-bdb9c499e400/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-06T15:25:24Z","end_date":"2100-12-31T23:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31882069.554128,"volume_24hr":7784.74313,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":84.55791473388672,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":2135.95146,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Sentiment"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.45467532,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Up or Down?","top_outcome_probability":0.45467532,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":2.4999999997943334e-7,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5988.077765,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T09:52:55.682449Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T09:52:55.682449Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/up-or-down-73d55889-f062-4d2a-b4ac-901d64a261ee","chart_24h":[0.45467507,0.45467507,0.45467456,0.45467481,0.45467532],"markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"317","event_id":"317","slug":"up-or-down-73d55889-f062-4d2a-b4ac-901d64a261ee","question":"Up or Down?","group_item_title":null,"description":"**There are zero trading fees charged for this market.**\n\n**This market is a social sentiment experiment, is trading only, and will never be resolved towards either option.**\n\nWinning or losing? To be or not to be? *Up or Down?*\n\nQuestions that have been asked since the dawn of time, maybe even before. But is it more than a societal belief that pits us against each other?\n\nTo begin grasping a potential path to an answer, we must first acknowledge that there isn’t one. Like a caveman transported to Woodstock ‘69, we must attempt to understand the crowd that we are simultaneously part of and apart from—a crowd that behaves unpredictably based on predictable events and continues to surprise us while seemingly never changing.\n\nOnly then—once humbled, emboldened, and full of wonder—we can ask ourselves and the atoms around us the ever-ringing question, the itch at the back of our brains, the perpetrator of too many sleepless nights: **Up or Down?**\n\n**Market Period:** Infinite. Do not give heed to any calendar dates, as they are but a mere distraction\n\n**Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- This market will not resolve\n\n**Resolution Details:**\n\n- No resolution can be triggered in this market\n\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\nThis market will be canceled/invalid if:\n\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change of its contract that demands the cancelation of all active markets, or similar technical or business imperatives\n- Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist\n\n*In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmUw7i2DikGEqWbsWnYoiMZzHeY7ztsU39hAb9USWpWJjT","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/9130cf3b-d002-46e8-abd8-bdb9c499e400/public","outcomes":["UP","DOWN"],"outcome_prices":[0.45467532,0.54532468],"probability":0.45467532,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-06T15:25:24Z","end_date":"2100-12-31T23:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31882069.554128,"volume_24hr":7784.74313,"prob_24h_change":2.4999999997943334e-7,"volume_24h_change":5988.077765,"normalized_vol_24hr":84.55791473388672,"normalized_volume":100.0,"liquidity":2135.95146,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T09:52:57.461569Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T09:52:54.459419Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/up-or-down-73d55889-f062-4d2a-b4ac-901d64a261ee","event_title":"Up or Down?","chart_24h":[0.45467507,0.45467507,0.45467456,0.45467481,0.45467532]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/317","as_of":"2026-08-12T12:53:27.685704Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Up or Down?\" — top market at 45% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}