{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/3207","as_of":"2026-10-31T17:51:50.847610Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?\" — 12% as of 2026-10-31 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/myriad/3207","source_url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/1-searched-person-on-google-2026-will-erling-haaland-be-the"},"source":"myriad","id":"3207","ticker":null,"slug":"1-searched-person-on-google-2026-will-erling-haaland-be-the","title":"Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** Determined once Google publishes its 2026 Year in Search Global \"People\" list.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to \"Yes\" for the individual ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026, provided they are listed as an outcome.\n- Resolves to \"No\" for all other individuals.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The specified list is expected to appear on the Google Trends Year in Search hub ([trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/](http://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/)), with location set to Global, navigating Global → Trending → People. This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of the exact navigation procedure used to reach it.\n- A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market.\n- This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\" for all listed options.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- Google discontinues its Year in Search program or the People category before the 2026 list is released.\n- The official result cannot be reliably verified through Google's published list.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.","image":null,"icon":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/RerUGzMt1ZrYCDZsCKYjiMJA4VyZHZPxwBYgrY_2Kos","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-22T09:22:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6260.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.599767684936523,"liquidity":1497.01157451,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["Culture"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.12,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-31T16:43:41.124942Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T16:43:41.124942Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T05:28:13.261577Z","url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/1-searched-person-on-google-2026-will-erling-haaland-be-the","chart_24h":[0.125,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.12],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"3207","event_id":"3207","slug":"1-searched-person-on-google-2026-will-erling-haaland-be-the","question":"Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","group_item_title":null,"description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Time:** Determined once Google publishes its 2026 Year in Search Global \"People\" list.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to \"Yes\" for the individual ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026, provided they are listed as an outcome.\n- Resolves to \"No\" for all other individuals.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- The specified list is expected to appear on the Google Trends Year in Search hub ([trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/](http://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/)), with location set to Global, navigating Global → Trending → People. This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of the exact navigation procedure used to reach it.\n- A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market.\n- This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\" for all listed options.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- Google discontinues its Year in Search program or the People category before the 2026 list is released.\n- The official result cannot be reliably verified through Google's published list.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.","image":null,"icon":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/RerUGzMt1ZrYCDZsCKYjiMJA4VyZHZPxwBYgrY_2Kos","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-22T09:22:17Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":6260.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.599767684936523,"liquidity":1497.01157451,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T16:43:39.283282Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T16:43:39.283282Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T05:28:13.261577Z","url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/1-searched-person-on-google-2026-will-erling-haaland-be-the","event_title":"Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.13,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.12]}]}