{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/791","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:25:14.675020Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?\" — 57% as of 2026-10-07 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/myriad/791","source_url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next"},"source":"myriad","id":"791","ticker":null,"slug":"how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next","title":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Targets:**\n  - **10 oz Target:** 1 Bitcoin = 10.0000 ounces of Gold.\n  - **30 oz Target**: 1 Bitcoin = 30.0000 ounces of Gold.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“30 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends reaches or exceeds the 30 oz Target.\n  - **“10 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends drops to equal or below the 10 oz Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Chart (logarithmic scale) on Longterm Trends, specifically:\n\n- 1-Year view (\"1y\").\n- Bitcoin / Gold ratio in ounces for each day\n\nOnly the “Bitcoin / Gold Ratio” value as quoted by Longterm Trends will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The Bitcoin / Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Longterm Trends platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPEyDGGhFPqfTwxovAzF1icd5Xq8bb6fAXmWt1wpfRBpK","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06533ba4-1c6d-479f-6f38-9fd710b18200/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T11:54:49Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13631.683213,"volume_24hr":3.517219,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.788637161254883,"normalized_volume":30.35983657836914,"liquidity":1054.396358,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto","Economy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.57358717,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","top_outcome_probability":0.57358717,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-07T20:13:31.828910Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T20:13:31.828910Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"791","event_id":"791","slug":"how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next","question":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","group_item_title":null,"description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n- **Market Targets:**\n  - **10 oz Target:** 1 Bitcoin = 10.0000 ounces of Gold.\n  - **30 oz Target**: 1 Bitcoin = 30.0000 ounces of Gold.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\n  - **“30 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends reaches or exceeds the 30 oz Target.\n  - **“10 oz”** if the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends drops to equal or below the 10 oz Target.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\nThe market resolves based on the Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Chart (logarithmic scale) on Longterm Trends, specifically:\n\n- 1-Year view (\"1y\").\n- Bitcoin / Gold ratio in ounces for each day\n\nOnly the “Bitcoin / Gold Ratio” value as quoted by Longterm Trends will be considered.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- The Bitcoin / Gold Ratio on Longterm Trends is suspended or becomes unreliable.\n- The Longterm Trends platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmPEyDGGhFPqfTwxovAzF1icd5Xq8bb6fAXmWt1wpfRBpK","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06533ba4-1c6d-479f-6f38-9fd710b18200/public","outcomes":["10 oz","30 oz"],"outcome_prices":[0.57358717,0.42641283],"probability":0.57358717,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T11:54:49Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13631.683213,"volume_24hr":3.517219,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.788637161254883,"normalized_volume":30.35983657836914,"liquidity":1054.396358,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T20:13:30.399293Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T20:13:30.399293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/how-much-gold-will-it-take-to-buy-one-bitcoin-next","event_title":"How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next?","chart_24h":null}]}