{"source":"myriad","id":"84254","ticker":null,"slug":"keir-starmer-out-before-july-6a091910-87ef-441e-9085-cbd75b740a4b","title":"Keir Starmer out before July?","description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** After Market Close, or earlier if a “Yes” outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will only be resolved through official announcements by the Government of the United Kingdom.\n- An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal during the Market Period will trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of when it goes into effect.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaWq8LdKK6G7S4BiLXWCLRk1KkWD4qGMzgPghGHW5VVxB","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06cff809-06a1-4d6b-15fb-05740c8ab000/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-18T16:37:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32727.74066579,"volume_24hr":785.9270962,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.65713882446289,"normalized_volume":33.41001510620117,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.13803979,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keir Starmer out before July?","top_outcome_probability":0.13803979,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03002202999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":357.47688848000007,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:15:41.652790Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:15:41.652790Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/keir-starmer-out-before-july-6a091910-87ef-441e-9085-cbd75b740a4b","chart_24h":[0.10801776,0.10801776,0.10801776,0.14195938,0.15380999,0.15380999,0.15380999,0.13803979],"markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"84254","event_id":"84254","slug":"keir-starmer-out-before-july-6a091910-87ef-441e-9085-cbd75b740a4b","question":"Keir Starmer out before July?","group_item_title":null,"description":"### **Market Dates:**\n\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** After Market Close, or earlier if a “Yes” outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to “**Yes**” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time during the Market Period.\n- Resolves to “**No**” if not.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will only be resolved through official announcements by the Government of the United Kingdom.\n- An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal during the Market Period will trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of when it goes into effect.\n\n### **Cancellation Conditions:**\n\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods.\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmaWq8LdKK6G7S4BiLXWCLRk1KkWD4qGMzgPghGHW5VVxB","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/06cff809-06a1-4d6b-15fb-05740c8ab000/public","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13803979,0.86196021],"probability":0.13803979,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-18T16:37:43Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32727.74066579,"volume_24hr":785.9270962,"prob_24h_change":0.03002202999999999,"volume_24h_change":357.47688848000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.65713882446289,"normalized_volume":33.41001510620117,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:15:42.949987Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:15:40.785672Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/keir-starmer-out-before-july-6a091910-87ef-441e-9085-cbd75b740a4b","event_title":"Keir Starmer out before July?","chart_24h":[0.10801776,0.10801776,0.10801776,0.14195938,0.15380999,0.15380999,0.15380999,0.13803979]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/84254","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:09:00.845589Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Keir Starmer out before July?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}