{"source":"myriad","id":"882","ticker":null,"slug":"who-ipos-first","title":"Who IPOs first?","description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close after either of the companies has officially had its IPO.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Anthropic”** if Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI.\n- Resolves to **“OpenAI”** if OpenAI IPOs before Anthropic.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official communications by Anthropic and OpenAI.\n- To IPO, for the purposes of this market, is defined as an Initial Public Offering (IPO), also known as the process where a private company first sells shares to the public and thus transitioning into a publicly traded entity.\n- A confirmation of an IPO date alone will not trigger a resolution. Either IPO must occur and be publicly tradable on any exchange for it to count towards resolution.\n- Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmbrmNvr61Kh7jwhrFXyk7oziru1PLaU4WZCNgoqsff2ae","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/b0ebb3cb-a4d2-4f5d-b2a7-b5399d616900/public","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T18:12:55Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11205.251772,"volume_24hr":12.041333,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.088739395141602,"normalized_volume":29.124202728271484,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Crypto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.90822193,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Who IPOs first?","top_outcome_probability":0.90822193,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-24T04:59:33.889162Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T04:59:33.889162Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/who-ipos-first","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"myriad","id":"882","event_id":"882","slug":"who-ipos-first","question":"Who IPOs first?","group_item_title":null,"description":"### **Market Details:**\n\n- **Market Close:** This market will close after either of the companies has officially had its IPO.\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.\n\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\n\n- Resolves to **“Anthropic”** if Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI.\n- Resolves to **“OpenAI”** if OpenAI IPOs before Anthropic.\n\n### **Resolution Details:**\n\n- This market will resolve based on the official communications by Anthropic and OpenAI.\n- To IPO, for the purposes of this market, is defined as an Initial Public Offering (IPO), also known as the process where a private company first sells shares to the public and thus transitioning into a publicly traded entity.\n- A confirmation of an IPO date alone will not trigger a resolution. Either IPO must occur and be publicly tradable on any exchange for it to count towards resolution.\n- Resolution may be delayed in case there are grounds to suspect that resolution sources may be corrupted or hacked.\n\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\n\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome.\n- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.\n\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.","image":"https://cdn.polkamarkets.com/QmbrmNvr61Kh7jwhrFXyk7oziru1PLaU4WZCNgoqsff2ae","icon":"https://imagedelivery.net/YN1-rdnufJQJCgu3i1CbVw/b0ebb3cb-a4d2-4f5d-b2a7-b5399d616900/public","outcomes":["Anthropic","OpenAI"],"outcome_prices":[0.90822193,0.09177807],"probability":0.90822193,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T18:12:55Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11205.251772,"volume_24hr":12.041333,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.088739395141602,"normalized_volume":29.124202728271484,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T00:18:29.993745Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T04:59:31.597631Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://myriad.markets/markets/who-ipos-first","event_title":"Who IPOs first?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/myriad/882","as_of":"2026-09-08T20:09:02.894304Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Myriad): \"Who IPOs first?\" — top market at 91% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}