{"source":"opinion","id":"150","ticker":"150","slug":"starmer-out-by","title":"Starmer out by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time on and before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x45768e18ed3244234dc0268f2d693534e403dd2853062557a29a7b916f707dde","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T15:47:22Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-02T10:00:22Z","volume":9638136.0215,"volume_24hr":8313.798999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.241241455078125,"normalized_volume":65.89988708496094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-18T21:20:06.855950Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T21:20:06.855950Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/starmer-out-by","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"2367","event_id":"150","slug":"starmer-out-by-december-31-2026","question":"December 31, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time on and before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.69],"probability":0.83,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-08T15:47:23Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":3696464.202,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":60.24591064453125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:53:48.808722Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:53:48.461681Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/starmer-out-by","event_title":"Starmer out by...?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83]},{"source":"opinion","id":"2366","event_id":"150","slug":"starmer-out-by-june-30-2026","question":"June 30, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time on and before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.996],"probability":0.002,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-08T15:47:22Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-01-02T10:00:22Z","volume":4865616.485,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":62.455413818359375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:30:50.052052Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:30:50.052052Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/starmer-out-by","event_title":"Starmer out by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/150","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:02:07.454152Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Starmer out by...?\" — top market at 83% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}