{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/1856","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:44:38.203870Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?\" — 5 markets; highest \"↓ 735\" at 97% as of 2026-09-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/opinion/1856","source_url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting"},"source":"opinion","id":"1856","ticker":"1856","slug":"will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","description":"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible, publicly reported news confirms that Zhao Bei physically entered mainland China at any time before Jia Yueting is confirmed by the same type of reporting to have entered mainland China, between the market open and the resolution time. If Jia Yueting returns first, the market resolves 'No.' If both return on the same calendar day (China Standard Time), the one confirmed to have landed first chronologically will be deemed to have returned first. \nOnly clear, direct confirmation (e.g., reputable news report or official statement cited on the specified source) will count; rumors or speculation are insufficient. In case of conflicting reports or ambiguity, the information available on the preferred source at resolution time prevails.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbf01a81c21822f895bd0e33a23857a6dc4f564f55a6c38c8d56b7682486cb6f9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-19T12:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5064070.0965,"volume_24hr":9.475,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.391256093978882,"normalized_volume":56.26612091064453,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.063,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↓ 735","top_outcome_probability":0.972,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T20:58:53.774717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T20:58:53.774717Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":null,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"1856","event_id":"1856","slug":"will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","question":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible, publicly reported news confirms that Zhao Bei physically entered mainland China at any time before Jia Yueting is confirmed by the same type of reporting to have entered mainland China, between the market open and the resolution time. If Jia Yueting returns first, the market resolves 'No.' If both return on the same calendar day (China Standard Time), the one confirmed to have landed first chronologically will be deemed to have returned first. \nOnly clear, direct confirmation (e.g., reputable news report or official statement cited on the specified source) will count; rumors or speculation are insufficient. In case of conflicting reports or ambiguity, the information available on the preferred source at resolution time prevails.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbf01a81c21822f895bd0e33a23857a6dc4f564f55a6c38c8d56b7682486cb6f9","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.54],"probability":0.063,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-19T12:31:58Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5064070.0965,"volume_24hr":9.475,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.3901891708374023,"normalized_volume":56.350223541259766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Other"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T03:05:10.037703Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T03:05:10.037703Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","event_title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"34062","event_id":"1856","slug":"what-price-will-spy-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-down-735","question":"↓ 735","group_item_title":null,"description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.972,0.0],"probability":0.972,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T22:06:37Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":230.45,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.008511543273926,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Other"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T05:00:01.149827Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T04:12:20.409097Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T04:12:20.409097Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","event_title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"34055","event_id":"1856","slug":"what-price-will-spy-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-up-770","question":"↑ 770","group_item_title":null,"description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-28T22:06:30Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-03T20:03:44Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Other"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T20:26:32.332235Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T20:26:32.332235Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T20:26:32.332235Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","event_title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"34056","event_id":"1856","slug":"what-price-will-spy-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-down-765","question":"↓ 765","group_item_title":null,"description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-28T22:06:31Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-31T21:06:26Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Other"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:17:51.200688Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:17:51.200688Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T21:17:51.200688Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","event_title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"34057","event_id":"1856","slug":"what-price-will-spy-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-down-760","question":"↓ 760","group_item_title":null,"description":"An \"↑\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"High\" for SPY (SPY) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an \"↓\" market resolves to \"Yes\" if the official daily \"Low\" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve \"No\".\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY (SPY), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the SPY (SPY) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/.\n\nIf that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY (SPY) trades governs.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-28T22:06:32Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T20:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-02T01:04:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T01:19:51.760984Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T01:19:51.760984Z","added_at":"2026-09-02T01:19:51.760984Z","url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-zhao-bei-return-to-china-before-jia-yueting","event_title":"Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?","chart_24h":null}]}