{"source":"opinion","id":"3256","ticker":null,"slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbcbc8fc7c0dfcf5485bb3c8c04994b0222ccc72c2ec5842b1e5ccfc15379be5e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-27T15:09:03Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7041661.654,"volume_24hr":28.725,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.980571746826172,"normalized_volume":61.34920120239258,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.046,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.046,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T15:08:58.602111Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T15:08:58.602111Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.046,0.046],"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"3256","event_id":"3256","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","question":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbcbc8fc7c0dfcf5485bb3c8c04994b0222ccc72c2ec5842b1e5ccfc15379be5e","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.046,0.747],"probability":0.046,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-27T15:09:03Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7041661.654,"volume_24hr":28.725,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.980587959289551,"normalized_volume":62.6416015625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T22:39:23.944481Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T15:06:26.726342Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","event_title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.046,0.046]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/3256","as_of":"2026-07-25T15:05:08.678669Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}