{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/3256","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:25:14.478342Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?\" — 5% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/opinion/3256","source_url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027"},"source":"opinion","id":"3256","ticker":"3256","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbcbc8fc7c0dfcf5485bb3c8c04994b0222ccc72c2ec5842b1e5ccfc15379be5e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-27T15:09:03Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7042081.219,"volume_24hr":51.832,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.074326515197754,"normalized_volume":59.00532150268555,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.046,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.046,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:59:32.440318Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:59:32.440318Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":null,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"3256","event_id":"3256","slug":"will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","question":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xbcbc8fc7c0dfcf5485bb3c8c04994b0222ccc72c2ec5842b1e5ccfc15379be5e","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.046,0.955],"probability":0.046,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-27T15:09:03Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":7042081.219,"volume_24hr":51.832,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.07468843460083,"normalized_volume":59.098716735839844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto","Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T14:24:22.097806Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T14:24:22.097806Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-bitcoin-replace-sha-256-before-2027","event_title":"Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?","chart_24h":null}]}