{"source":"opinion","id":"3365","ticker":null,"slug":"will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction between January 1st, 2026 00:00 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto\n\nIf Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x15a31af19d3f9fa339ce35245ff83a050ddacf72972995997ec684cb254aef3e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-29T16:26:54Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25129714.5145,"volume_24hr":2851.1800000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.419374465942383,"normalized_volume":74.7483139038086,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.065,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2741.1905,"updated_at":"2026-06-12T00:22:36.551898Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T00:22:36.551898Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065],"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"3365","event_id":"3365","slug":"will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","question":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction between January 1st, 2026 00:00 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto\n\nIf Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x7db6acaf6ff17e188b577301df988234836d9901/0x15a31af19d3f9fa339ce35245ff83a050ddacf72972995997ec684cb254aef3e","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.919],"probability":0.065,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-29T16:26:54Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25129714.5145,"volume_24hr":2851.1800000000003,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2741.1905,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.79623794555664,"normalized_volume":77.77670288085938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T00:22:39.229035Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T00:18:21.819899Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","event_title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/3365","as_of":"2026-06-12T01:46:49.788664Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}