{"source":"opinion","id":"382","ticker":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x202e7bcf8ed921913982759874bdf2a004afcb40edcb444c1ebd65695be923f4","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:20Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16535692.9685,"volume_24hr":1398.3245,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.475414276123047,"normalized_volume":70.39056396484375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lucy Powell","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-20T07:02:21.670280Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T07:02:21.670280Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"6846","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-lucy-powell","question":"Lucy Powell","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.994],"probability":0.9,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:13:49Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":3157282.481,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.99626159667969,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6845","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-al-carns","question":"Al Carns","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.397,0.997],"probability":0.397,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:13:48Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":8901574.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":67.4516372680664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397,0.397]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6839","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-wes-streeting","question":"Wes Streeting","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.976],"probability":0.26,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:22Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":143026.489,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.120819091796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6838","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-angela-rayner","question":"Angela Rayner","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.123,0.831],"probability":0.123,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:21Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":118355.2665,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.94611740112305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123,0.123]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6841","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-rupert-lowe","question":"Rupert Lowe","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.113,0.964],"probability":0.113,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:24Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":350008.459,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.92877197265625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113,0.113]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6837","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-no-next-pm-in-2026","question":"No Next PM in 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.94],"probability":0.11,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:20Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":129959.192,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-281.53549999999814,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.5240364074707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6842","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-shabana-mahmood","question":"Shabana Mahmood","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.106,0.867],"probability":0.106,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:13:45Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":62966.5145,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.1671142578125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6844","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-nigel-farage","question":"Nigel Farage","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.079,0.863],"probability":0.079,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:13:47Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":399009.1385,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.81452941894531,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.079]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6840","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-ed-miliband","question":"Ed Miliband","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.054,0.946],"probability":0.054,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:10:23Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":83570.498,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.83631134033203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054,0.054]},{"source":"opinion","id":"6843","event_id":"382","slug":"next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-andy-burnham","question":"Andy Burnham","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.028,0.301],"probability":0.028,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T04:13:46Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":3189940.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":59.07742691040039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:06:43.754226Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:04:40.199455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026","event_title":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/382","as_of":"2026-06-21T13:09:00.677090Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?\" — top market at 90% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}