{"source":"opinion","id":"397","ticker":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by","title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0x46289c6779e6fcd9409567a228ee35df008b35963aaaa310352ee05058d7957c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:39Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:19:37Z","volume":5631888.473,"volume_24hr":699.254,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.625089645385742,"normalized_volume":58.10188293457031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.816,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T11:26:41.022973Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"7688","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","question":"December 31, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.816,0.989],"probability":0.816,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:42Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":91724.6195,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.835721969604492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:34:03.233141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:32:27.877560Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":[0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816,0.816]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7687","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026","question":"September 30, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.95],"probability":0.095,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:41Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":23679.062,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.737104415893555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:34:03.233141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:32:27.877560Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7690","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-june-30-2027","question":"June 30, 2027","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:44Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":2952.4535,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.568861961364746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:34:03.233141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:32:27.877560Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7693","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2027","question":"September 30, 2027","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.961],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:50:22Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":4144.304,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.917879104614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:34:03.233141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:32:27.877560Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7686","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-june-30-2026","question":"June 30, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.033,0.251],"probability":0.033,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:40Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-07-01T10:19:37Z","volume":7332.134,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.31431770324707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T10:33:24.966999Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T10:51:19.086873Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"7689","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-march-31-2027","question":"March 31, 2027","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.91],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:43Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":10387.6205,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.855632781982422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:34:03.233141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:32:27.877560Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7694","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027","question":"December 31, 2027","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.991],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:50:23Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":4422.9595,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.183183670043945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:34:03.233141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:32:27.877560Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"opinion","id":"7685","event_id":"397","slug":"probable-launch-a-token-by-march-31-2026","question":"March 31, 2026","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Probable officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable\n), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.998],"probability":0.007,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-23T14:48:39Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T19:53:40Z","volume":5487245.32,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.71538162231445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:59.896490Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:59.896490Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/probable-launch-a-token-by","event_title":"Probable launch a token by ...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/397","as_of":"2026-09-08T20:50:49.818674Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Probable launch a token by ...?\" — top market at 82% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}