{"source":"opinion","id":"437","ticker":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election","title":"Brazil Presidential Election","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0xf988d66bd9c46b69d33e2703f7264d3c2267136c/0x63d948e3762d4e625c59e7639a5c64d379ab17949e7b39fbe388080f711499e1","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:31Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":206.8655,"volume_24hr":30.299,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.6546735763549805,"normalized_volume":7.351672649383545,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Flávio Bolsonaro","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-21T07:23:50.428672Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T07:23:50.428672Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"11607","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-flavio-bolsonaro","question":"Flávio Bolsonaro","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.0],"probability":0.9,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:32Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":108.333,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.918662071228027,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"opinion","id":"11606","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva","question":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.359],"probability":0.705,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:31Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":98.5325,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.684218883514404,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":[0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705]},{"source":"opinion","id":"11608","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-renan-santos","question":"Renan Santos","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:33Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11609","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-fernando-haddad","question":"Fernando Haddad","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:34Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11610","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-ronaldo-caiado","question":"Ronaldo Caiado","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:35Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11611","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-romeu-zema","question":"Romeu Zema","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:36Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11612","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-camilo-santana","question":"Camilo Santana","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:37Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11613","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-aldo-rebelo","question":"Aldo Rebelo","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:38Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11614","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-jair-bolsonaro","question":"Jair Bolsonaro","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:39Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11615","event_id":"437","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-geraldo-alckmin","question":"Geraldo Alckmin","group_item_title":null,"description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T04:08:40Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/brazil-presidential-election","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/437","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:31:31.726959Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Brazil Presidential Election\" — top market at 90% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}