{"source":"opinion","id":"440","ticker":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election","title":"Next French Presidential Election","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":"https://images.opinion.trade/0x18f63f20eead237c83ff75bb7bd2028006fef79d/0xb44d469a5de346692def4c07ca8114526f74605acda2aaf8616c492e796f71c9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:24Z","end_date":"2027-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1984.0520000000001,"volume_24hr":7.028,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.703016757965088,"normalized_volume":14.882711410522461,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jordan Bardella","top_outcome_probability":0.207,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T00:23:32.367183Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T00:23:32.367183Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"opinion","id":"11662","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-jordan-bardella","question":"Jordan Bardella","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.207,0.794],"probability":0.207,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:25Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":921.4905,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.517951965332031,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":[0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207,0.207]},{"source":"opinion","id":"11661","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-edouard-philippe","question":"Édouard Philippe","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.167,0.864],"probability":0.167,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:24Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":1062.5615,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.045230865478516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":[0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167,0.167]},{"source":"opinion","id":"11663","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-marine-le-pen","question":"Marine Le Pen","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:26Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11664","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-dominique-de-villepin","question":"Dominique de Villepin","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:27Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11665","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-david-lisnard","question":"David Lisnard","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:28Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11666","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-jean-luc-melenchon","question":"Jean-Luc Mélenchon","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:29Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11667","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-francois-hollande","question":"François Hollande","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:30Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11668","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-bruno-retailleau","question":"Bruno Retailleau","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:31Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11669","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-raphael-glucksmann","question":"Raphaël Glucksmann","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:32Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11670","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-jean-castex","question":"Jean Castex","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:33Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11671","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-gabriel-attal","question":"Gabriel Attal","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:34Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null},{"source":"opinion","id":"11672","event_id":"440","slug":"next-french-presidential-election-sarah-knafo","question":"Sarah Knafo","group_item_title":null,"description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T13:13:35Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:30:31.906320Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:38.554431Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.opinion.trade/market/next-french-presidential-election","event_title":"Next French Presidential Election","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/opinion/440","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:31:30.111043Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Opinion): \"Next French Presidential Election\" — top market at 21% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}