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Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a party other than AfD or SPD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the named party. 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Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a party other than AfD or SPD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0095,0.9905],"probability":0.0095,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:58:41Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":250.95,"volume_24hr":250.95,"prob_24h_change":-0.2355,"volume_24h_change":250.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.433664321899414,"normalized_volume":8.969693183898926,"liquidity":12665.17827,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T15:52:20.225231Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T15:52:20.225231Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:59:23.720507Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-spd-win-the-2026-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-election-by-2-5-percent","event_title":"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.245,0.235,0.245,0.24,0.245,0.2,0.225,0.17,0.09,0.175,0.065,0.025,0.134,0.0215,0.0025,0.0095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4467833","event_id":"1004899","slug":"will-spd-win-the-2026-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-election-by-10-percent-or-more","question":"Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 10% or more?","group_item_title":"SPD 10%+","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a party other than AfD or SPD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-11T14:58:41Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151.599966,"volume_24hr":151.599966,"prob_24h_change":-0.179,"volume_24h_change":151.599966,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.280852317810059,"normalized_volume":7.416646957397461,"liquidity":512.52449,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T15:13:51.631763Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T15:13:51.631763Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:59:23.720507Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-spd-win-the-2026-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-election-by-10-percent-or-more","event_title":"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.185,0.175,0.185,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.1,0.115,0.055,0.06,0.06,0.065,0.055,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.035,0.0395,0.0315,0.068,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4467834","event_id":"1004899","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-most-votes-in-the-2026-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-election","question":"Will a party other than AfD or SPD win the most votes in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?","group_item_title":"Another party wins","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a party other than AfD or SPD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nIf two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Another party wins\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-11T14:59:23.720507Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-11T14:59:23.720507Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T14:59:23.720507Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-another-party-win-the-most-votes-in-the-2026-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-election","event_title":"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1004899","as_of":"2026-09-12T17:52:55.175676Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory\" — top market at 30% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}