{"source":"polymarket","id":"101106","ticker":"another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026","slug":"another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026","title":"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).\n\nThe rules and resolution criteria are as follows:\n\n1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?\nThis market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPartial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).\n\n2. Which party will win the House in 2026?\n\nThis market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nHouse members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-09T18:47:58.018597Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":335339.527299,"volume_24hr":1588.410376,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.364017486572266,"normalized_volume":36.84499740600586,"liquidity":32549.85016,"open_interest":19687.101325,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101542","slug":"gov-shutdown","label":"Gov Shutdown"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"514","slug":"congress","label":"Congress"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Shutdown & Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.855,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T09:17:36.950598Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T09:17:36.950598Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1570.910376,1570.910376,1570.910376,1581.910376,1581.910376,1581.910376,1581.910376,1581.910376,1581.910376,1581.910376,1588.410376],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"902978","event_id":"101106","slug":"will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-republican-party-win-the-house-in-2026","question":"Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?","group_item_title":"Shutdown & Republican Party","description":"This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).\n\nThe rules and resolution criteria are as follows:\n\n1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?\nThis market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPartial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).\n\n2. Which party will win the House in 2026?\n\nThis market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nHouse members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1365,0.8635],"probability":0.1365,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-09T18:47:59.484216Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68545.49898599999,"volume_24hr":1588.410376,"prob_24h_change":0.031500000000000014,"volume_24h_change":1588.410376,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.808822631835938,"normalized_volume":36.3788948059082,"liquidity":17776.20894,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T09:34:18.122665Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T09:17:38.439963Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-republican-party-win-the-house-in-2026","event_title":"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.1045,0.1045,0.1045,0.104,0.104,0.1045,0.104,0.1035,0.1045,0.1045,0.137,0.137,0.1355,0.1355,0.1355,0.1345,0.136,0.136,0.136,0.136,0.1365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"902977","event_id":"101106","slug":"will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-democratic-party-win-the-house-in-2026","question":"Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?","group_item_title":"Shutdown & Democratic Party","description":"This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).\n\nThe rules and resolution criteria are as follows:\n\n1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?\nThis market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPartial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).\n\n2. Which party will win the House in 2026?\n\nThis market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nHouse members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.855,0.145],"probability":0.855,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-09T18:47:58.018597Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57192.229391999994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.205360412597656,"liquidity":15478.27331,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T01:21:16.575663Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T01:08:20.019090Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-democratic-party-win-the-house-in-2026","event_title":"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?","chart_24h":[0.86,0.86,0.855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"902979","event_id":"101106","slug":"will-there-be-no-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-democratic-party-win-the-house-in-2026","question":"Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?","group_item_title":"No Shutdown & Democratic Party","description":"This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).\n\nThe rules and resolution criteria are as follows:\n\n1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?\nThis market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPartial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).\n\n2. Which party will win the House in 2026?\nThis market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nHouse control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-09T18:47:59.737351Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-01T16:32:18Z","volume":114128.089046,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.78630065917969,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026/will-there-be-no-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-democratic-party-win-the-house-in-2026","event_title":"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"902980","event_id":"101106","slug":"will-there-be-no-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-republican-party-win-the-house-in-2026","question":"Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?","group_item_title":"No Shutdown & Republican Party","description":"This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).\n\nThe rules and resolution criteria are as follows:\n\n1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?\nThis market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPartial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).\n\n2. Which party will win the House in 2026?\nThis market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nHouse control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-09T18:47:59.225698Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-01T16:33:38Z","volume":95473.709875,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.576141357421875,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026/will-there-be-no-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31-and-will-the-republican-party-win-the-house-in-2026","event_title":"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"902981","event_id":"101106","slug":"will-something-else-occur-455","question":"Will something else occur?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).\n\nThe rules and resolution criteria are as follows:\n\n1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?\nThis market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPartial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).\n\n2. Which party will win the House in 2026?\nThis market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nHouse control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-lO2ezdY5lP2i.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-09T18:48:01.142185Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-government-shutdown-house-winner-2026/will-something-else-occur-455","event_title":"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/101106","as_of":"2026-08-27T09:44:24.840565Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?\" — top market at 14% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}