{"source":"polymarket","id":"1023113","ticker":"which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government","slug":"which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government","title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/seschool-sweden-flag-4f2ad098a8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/seschool-sweden-flag-4f2ad098a8.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1361.277083,"volume_24hr":1361.277083,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.701875686645508,"normalized_volume":11.84622573852539,"liquidity":61549.52883,"open_interest":449.632252,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"191","slug":"sweden","label":"Sweden"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"106088","slug":"sweden-elections","label":"Sweden Elections"},{"id":"106091","slug":"sweden-parliamentary-elections","label":"Sweden Parliamentary Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"S + MP + C","top_outcome_probability":0.44,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.265,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":65.94,"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.058212Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.058212Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.538367Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,20.0,545.0,757.928621,757.928621,1000.678621,1144.488621,1176.298621,1206.238621,1306.238621,1361.277083],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554099","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?","group_item_title":"S + MP + C","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.62,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.94,"volume_24hr":65.94,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":65.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.217654705047607,"normalized_volume":5.184795379638672,"liquidity":501.2669,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.25,0.495,0.255,0.355,0.165,0.155,0.135,0.195,0.36,0.19,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554119","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-another-result-occur-for-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden","question":"Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Sweden?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.335514068603516,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":406.3617,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-another-result-occur-for-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.13,0.135,0.245,0.24,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.235,0.155,0.125,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554108","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-l-sd","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?","group_item_title":"M + KD + L + SD","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.94,"volume_24hr":65.94,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":65.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.217654705047607,"normalized_volume":5.184795379638672,"liquidity":938.4376,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-l-sd","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.13,0.295,0.155,0.09,0.09,0.075,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.115,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554100","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c-v","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?","group_item_title":"S + MP + C + V","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":184.668462,"volume_24hr":184.668462,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":184.668462,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.145840644836426,"normalized_volume":8.006603240966797,"liquidity":8830.3517,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c-v","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.175,0.465,0.45,0.35,0.165,0.155,0.14,0.12,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554102","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-v","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?","group_item_title":"S + MP + V","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63.19,"volume_24hr":63.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":63.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.074325084686279,"normalized_volume":5.081834316253662,"liquidity":8622.4889,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-v","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.155,0.145,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.125,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554101","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?","group_item_title":"S + MP","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":149.448621,"volume_24hr":149.448621,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":149.448621,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.26634407043457,"normalized_volume":7.374817848205566,"liquidity":435.2076,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.235,0.2,0.115,0.26,0.215,0.215,0.25,0.1,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554103","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-c","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C?","group_item_title":"S + C","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63.19,"volume_24hr":63.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":63.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.074325084686279,"normalized_volume":5.081834316253662,"liquidity":214.5177,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-c","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.26,0.11,0.115,0.1,0.075,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554105","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-c-v","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + V?","group_item_title":"S + C + V","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":522.9156,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-c-v","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.24,0.32,0.15,0.105,0.1,0.065,0.07,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554107","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-l","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?","group_item_title":"M + KD + L","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":266.8049,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:14:14.457586Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:14:14.457586Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-l","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.38,0.1,0.1,0.095,0.09,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554104","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?","group_item_title":"S","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.43,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":140.2091,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.135,0.11,0.095,0.09,0.09,0.065,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554109","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-l-c","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?","group_item_title":"M + KD + L + C","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.43,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.335514068603516,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":650.2673,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-l-c","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.135,0.145,0.24,0.245,0.22,0.05,0.07,0.21,0.125,0.12,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554114","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c-kd","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD?","group_item_title":"S + MP + C + KD","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.43,"volume_24h_change":25.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.335514068603516,"normalized_volume":3.114412307739258,"liquidity":339.2174,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:03:33.277979Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:03:33.277979Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c-kd","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.12,0.26,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554113","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-c-l","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + L?","group_item_title":"S + C + L","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.445,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":117.8842,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-c-l","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.07,0.07,0.075,0.065,0.065,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554115","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-sd","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + SD?","group_item_title":"M + KD + SD","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.445,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":178.3522,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd-sd","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.125,0.085,0.155,0.07,0.065,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554116","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD?","group_item_title":"M + KD","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.445,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":162.0501,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:14:14.457586Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:14:14.457586Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-kd","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.13,0.08,0.075,0.065,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554112","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-m","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + M?","group_item_title":"S + M","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.455,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":84.4702,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-m","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.25,0.205,0.265,0.155,0.085,0.075,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554110","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c-l","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + L?","group_item_title":"S + MP + C + L","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":614.2885,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-c-l","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.135,0.08,0.085,0.075,0.065,0.055,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554117","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-sd","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + SD?","group_item_title":"M + SD","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.45,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":715.1677,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:10:13.268971Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m-sd","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.12,0.07,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.055,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554118","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?","group_item_title":"M","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146.0,"volume_24hr":146.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.464,"volume_24h_change":146.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.171595573425293,"normalized_volume":7.306755542755127,"liquidity":736.53978,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T21:20:30.687728Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T21:20:30.687728Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-m","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.245,0.16,0.07,0.065,0.065,0.04,0.036]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554111","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-l","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + L?","group_item_title":"S + MP + L","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0265,0.9735],"probability":0.0265,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43.19,"volume_24hr":43.19,"prob_24h_change":-0.4735,"volume_24h_change":43.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.862015247344971,"normalized_volume":4.210972785949707,"liquidity":8248.15676,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:34:34.981150Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-mp-l","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.135,0.17,0.07,0.065,0.035,0.0265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4554106","event_id":"1023113","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-v","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + V?","group_item_title":"S + V","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.\n\n- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nIf any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.\n\nIf the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T14:51:07Z","end_date":"2027-08-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":116.0,"volume_24hr":116.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.484,"volume_24h_change":116.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.2623929977417,"normalized_volume":6.65363073348999,"liquidity":8675.91492,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:47:55.836373Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T14:55:32.600377Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-swedish-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-sweden-include-s-v","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.125,0.285,0.105,0.1,0.095,0.03,0.021,0.0215,0.021]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1023113","as_of":"2026-09-14T23:10:46.893769Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?\" — top market at 12% probability across 21 outcomes","source_url":null}}