{"source":"polymarket","id":"102557","ticker":"what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027","slug":"what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027","title":"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T18:00:17.722717Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33492.424345,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.82267951965332,"liquidity":2687.14043,"open_interest":7773.685415999999,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"93","slug":"prediction-markets","label":"Prediction Markets"},{"id":"102826","slug":"based","label":"Based"},{"id":"102809","slug":"fees","label":"Fees"},{"id":"102884","slug":"polymarket","label":"Polymarket"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$1M","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:47:37.995149Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:47:37.995149Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"914578","event_id":"102557","slug":"will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-1m-before-2027","question":"Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?","group_item_title":"$1M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T17:52:00.861049Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14901.436885999996,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.68562889099121,"liquidity":1060.0726,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:44:25.119972Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:08:07.205274Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027/will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-1m-before-2027","event_title":"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"914579","event_id":"102557","slug":"will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-2m-before-2027","question":"Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?","group_item_title":"$2M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T17:51:58.063451Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5218.940160000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.796422958374023,"liquidity":12.0081,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:17:37.376263Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027/will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-2m-before-2027","event_title":"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"914582","event_id":"102557","slug":"will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-5m-before-2027","question":"Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?","group_item_title":"$5M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0605,0.9395],"probability":0.0605,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T17:52:00.607817Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4868.652385000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.001999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.49260711669922,"liquidity":342.63637,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:36:08.534547Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:54:31.306227Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027/will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-5m-before-2027","event_title":"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0585,0.0605,0.0605,0.0605,0.0605]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"914580","event_id":"102557","slug":"will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-3m-before-2027","question":"Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?","group_item_title":"$3M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T17:51:59.336251Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3080.174556,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.552587509155273,"liquidity":394.99518,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:36:20.113415Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:34:00.849963Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027/will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-3m-before-2027","event_title":"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0405,0.0405,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.0405,0.04,0.0405,0.0405,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.04,0.0405,0.04,0.0405,0.04,0.0405,0.04,0.04,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"914581","event_id":"102557","slug":"will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-4m-before-2027","question":"Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?","group_item_title":"$4M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/based-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-x_rRcHyrw0Dx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-11T17:51:56.541717Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5423.220358000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.96538543701172,"liquidity":622.68839,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:36:20.113415Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:34:00.849963Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-based-prediction-market-revenue-hit-before-2027/will-based-polymarket-revenue-hit-4m-before-2027","event_title":"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.0355,0.0345,0.036,0.033,0.035,0.036,0.0345,0.0355,0.0345,0.0365,0.035,0.0325,0.035,0.035,0.035,0.036,0.033,0.0355,0.036,0.036,0.036,0.0345,0.0355,0.036,0.0355,0.035,0.036,0.036,0.0365,0.0355,0.035,0.036]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/102557","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:57:49.661022Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?\" — top market at 22% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}