{"source":"polymarket","id":"1025713","ticker":"which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31","slug":"which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31","title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31--cpnNPCdwGnk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31--cpnNPCdwGnk.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:04Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1603.406621,"volume_24hr":1603.406621,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.311796188354492,"normalized_volume":12.389384269714355,"liquidity":2922.2112,"open_interest":1238.1066199999998,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"105582","slug":"ai-regulation","label":"AI Regulation"},{"id":"106216","slug":"ai-safety","label":"AI Safety"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Meta","top_outcome_probability":0.325,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.15999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":117.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.506947Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.506947Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.597466Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31","chart_24h":[0.0,93.727274,180.909772,180.909772,220.909772,220.909772,220.909772,220.909772,240.909772,240.909772,240.909772,456.648483,528.068483,740.068483,1229.646621,1583.406621,1603.406621],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572550","event_id":"1025713","slug":"meta-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Meta announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:04Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":117.0,"volume_24hr":117.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.15999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":117.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.507434844970703,"normalized_volume":6.677433967590332,"liquidity":113.6898,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.591284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.591284Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/meta-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.27,0.185,0.275,0.295,0.47,0.51,0.515,0.84,0.815,0.48,0.32,0.385,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572551","event_id":"1025713","slug":"amazon-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:05Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":210.272414,"volume_24hr":210.272414,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":210.272414,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.711634635925293,"normalized_volume":8.40749740600586,"liquidity":168.5235,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:14:39.713480Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:14:39.713480Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/amazon-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.275,0.28,0.185,0.28,0.315,0.31,0.48,0.49,0.285,0.31,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572544","event_id":"1025713","slug":"spacexai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacexai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31-TTqfjw1-TCOX.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacexai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31-TTqfjw1-TCOX.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":180.986667,"volume_24hr":180.986667,"prob_24h_change":-0.20999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":180.986667,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.12279987335205,"normalized_volume":7.945324897766113,"liquidity":174.6152,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:17:48.828485Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:17:48.828485Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/spacexai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.275,0.28,0.185,0.28,0.17,0.28,0.325,0.495,0.68,0.35,0.47,0.275,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572541","event_id":"1025713","slug":"google-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Google announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:08Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":338.4,"volume_24hr":338.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":338.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.69269847869873,"normalized_volume":9.962422370910645,"liquidity":733.4629,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.591284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.591284Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/google-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.275,0.17,0.165,0.38,0.325,0.38,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.155,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572547","event_id":"1025713","slug":"mistral-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42.8,"volume_24hr":42.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":42.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.3399434089660645,"normalized_volume":4.19128942489624,"liquidity":114.2377,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:57:52.163978Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:57:52.163978Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/mistral-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572545","event_id":"1025713","slug":"deepseek-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:08Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.883117999999996,"volume_24hr":49.883117999999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":49.883117999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.77189826965332,"normalized_volume":4.530328273773193,"liquidity":154.6585,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/deepseek-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.11,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572552","event_id":"1025713","slug":"baidu-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026-MWj8PQJLsiaa.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026-MWj8PQJLsiaa.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:05Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.705715,"volume_24hr":70.705715,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":70.705715,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.823633193969727,"normalized_volume":5.355828285217285,"liquidity":128.5392,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/baidu-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.12,0.12,0.125,0.14,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572543","event_id":"1025713","slug":"zai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:08Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.349652,"volume_24hr":70.349652,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":70.349652,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.807741641998291,"normalized_volume":5.343355655670166,"liquidity":262.9646,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/zai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.11,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572546","event_id":"1025713","slug":"moonshot-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.428572,"volume_24hr":50.428572,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":50.428572,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.803264617919922,"normalized_volume":4.554947376251221,"liquidity":200.634,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:51:42.934614Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/moonshot-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.11,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572553","event_id":"1025713","slug":"bytedance-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48.538463,"volume_24hr":48.538463,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":48.538463,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.6934895515441895,"normalized_volume":4.468785762786865,"liquidity":195.1869,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T11:14:39.713480Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T11:14:39.713480Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/bytedance-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.275,0.1,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572548","event_id":"1025713","slug":"meituan-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026-S2AXaGUMov2m.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026-S2AXaGUMov2m.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:07Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44.14074,"volume_24hr":44.14074000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":44.14074000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.425479888916016,"normalized_volume":4.258426666259766,"liquidity":318.0339,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T10:29:58.445482Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T10:29:58.445482Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/meituan-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.115,0.115,0.12,0.115,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572549","event_id":"1025713","slug":"microsoft-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":333.679057,"volume_24hr":333.679057,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":333.679057,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.63175106048584,"normalized_volume":9.91458511352539,"liquidity":227.975,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.591284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:38:47.591284Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/microsoft-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.3,0.2,0.32,0.295,0.31,0.28,0.285,0.48,0.47,0.09,0.255,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4572542","event_id":"1025713","slug":"alibaba-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","question":"Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.\n\nThe company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments. Statements that describe slowing development, adding review steps, or considering a pause without stating that training has been or will be paused will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-jSpk4aBgTVpy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-jSpk4aBgTVpy.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T00:22:09Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.222223,"volume_24hr":46.222223,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":46.222223,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.554634094238281,"normalized_volume":4.359798908233643,"liquidity":246.2497,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T08:18:08.445369Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T08:18:08.445369Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T00:34:34.629722Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31/alibaba-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31","event_title":"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.075,0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1025713","as_of":"2026-09-15T12:52:03.049474Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?\" — top market at 14% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}