{"source":"polymarket","id":"1029050","ticker":"who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary","slug":"who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary","title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-ag-p7QRIjETOSqO.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-ag-p7QRIjETOSqO.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":514.00356,"volume_24hr":155.865653,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.507820129394531,"normalized_volume":8.866588592529297,"liquidity":19691.1208,"open_interest":217.13356000000002,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100933","slug":"army","label":"Army"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101193","slug":"trump-cabinet","label":"Trump Cabinet"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Candidate A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.319466Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.319466Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.425237Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary","chart_24h":[130.137907,130.137907,130.137907,130.137907,130.137907,190.137907,136.71,136.71,134.695653,134.695653,134.695653,134.695653,134.695653,154.695653,154.695653,154.695653,168.865653,168.865653,168.865653,168.865653,168.865653,168.865653,168.865653,168.865653,148.865653,128.865653,128.865653,128.865653,149.865653,149.865653,149.865653,155.865653,155.865653,155.865653],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592192","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-sean-parnell-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Sean Parnell be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Sean Parnell","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.369076251983643,"normalized_volume":5.851507663726807,"liquidity":314.5273,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T23:35:29.282575Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T23:35:29.282575Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-sean-parnell-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.345,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.46,0.43,0.425,0.42,0.46,0.425,0.335,0.31,0.295,0.31,0.315,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592190","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-adam-telle-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Adam Telle","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.695653,"volume_24hr":14.695653,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-25.304347,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.951544761657715,"normalized_volume":5.68781852722168,"liquidity":252.9027,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T03:40:38.222764Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T03:40:38.222764Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-adam-telle-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.34,0.385,0.33,0.25,0.185,0.2,0.205,0.175,0.365,0.225,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592193","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-brent-ingraham-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Brent Ingraham","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.307907,"volume_24hr":14.17,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":-75.967907,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.878965377807617,"normalized_volume":6.979925155639648,"liquidity":134.287,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.644373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.644373Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-brent-ingraham-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.115,0.11,0.075,0.08,0.08,0.135,0.135,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.115,0.105,0.075,0.07,0.08,0.085,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.095,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592191","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-brian-mast-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Brian Mast be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Brian Mast","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":107.0,"volume_24hr":81.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09,"volume_24h_change":81.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.560432434082031,"normalized_volume":6.431841850280762,"liquidity":824.3011,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T09:05:22.459777Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T09:05:22.459777Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-brian-mast-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.125,0.12,0.115,0.12,0.115,0.11,0.12,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592199","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-charles-young-iii-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Charles Young III be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Charles Young III","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32.0,"volume_24hr":6.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4742170572280884,"normalized_volume":3.5868823528289795,"liquidity":10028.2411,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T09:48:03.692946Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T09:48:03.692946Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-charles-young-iii-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.09,0.095,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.085,0.08,0.085,0.09,0.085,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.085,0.095,0.12,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592234","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-other-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Other be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-other-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592207","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-michael-obadal-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Michael Obadal be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Michael Obadal","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.65,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.1869819164276123,"liquidity":97.9581,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.644373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.644373Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-michael-obadal-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.3,0.245,0.27,0.17,0.27,0.115,0.16,0.13,0.145,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.085,0.08,0.06,0.085,0.07,0.07,0.085,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592202","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-marc-andersen-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will Marc Andersen be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"Marc Andersen","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.1869819164276123,"liquidity":8326.2742,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T09:26:49.261724Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T09:26:49.261724Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-marc-andersen-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.12,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4592200","event_id":"1029050","slug":"will-wpt-jordan-gillis-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","question":"Will W. Jordan Gillis be the next confirmed Army Secretary?","group_item_title":"W. Jordan Gillis","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.\n\nIf no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T18:08:23Z","end_date":"2029-01-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.1869819164276123,"liquidity":96.4823,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.644373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T10:09:04.644373Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T18:34:11.571014Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary/will-wpt-jordan-gillis-be-the-next-confirmed-army-secretary","event_title":"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.265,0.1,0.255,0.125,0.135,0.125,0.05,0.32,0.055,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.095,0.085,0.09,0.095,0.08]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1029050","as_of":"2026-09-18T10:12:59.402249Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?\" — top market at 10% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}