{"source":"polymarket","id":"1030146","ticker":"next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028","slug":"next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028","title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. 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Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/germany-parliamentary-election-Dkwwl8dsUNA4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/germany-parliamentary-election-Dkwwl8dsUNA4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":704.633332,"volume_24hr":704.633332,"prob_24h_change":-0.24500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":704.633332,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.618824005126953,"normalized_volume":12.622231483459473,"liquidity":959.3072,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-there-be-no-next-german-chancellor-before-2028-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.665,0.5,0.475,0.515,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.505,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.435,0.48,0.485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599725","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-tino-chrupalla-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will Tino Chrupalla be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Tino Chrupalla","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. 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Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-soeder-122f632c6c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-soeder-122f632c6c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67.0,"volume_24hr":67.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":67.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.291427135467529,"normalized_volume":5.2236223220825195,"liquidity":9167.4979,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T10:28:02.035222Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T10:28:02.035222Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-markus-soder-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.17,0.115,0.12,0.115,0.11,0.115,0.06,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.075,0.08,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599723","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-carsten-linnemann-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will Carsten Linnemann be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Carsten Linnemann","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-linnemann-1b418b1616.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-linnemann-1b418b1616.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.073,0.927],"probability":0.073,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.0,"volume_24hr":23.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06200000000000001,"volume_24h_change":23.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.136294841766357,"normalized_volume":2.963266372680664,"liquidity":809.99928,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-carsten-linnemann-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.125,0.21,0.085,0.27,0.215,0.32,0.105,0.085,0.285,0.144,0.167,0.15,0.019,0.0185,0.029,0.032]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599729","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-katharina-droge-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will Katharina Dröge be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Katharina Dröge","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-droege-09696cf49b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-droege-09696cf49b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.0,"volume_24hr":59.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":59.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.865272045135498,"normalized_volume":4.9183220863342285,"liquidity":1016.6979,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-katharina-droge-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.175,0.15,0.205,0.095,0.09,0.16,0.245,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.205,0.055,0.05,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599724","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-alice-weidel-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Alice Weidel","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-weidel-79f9bbe892.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-weidel-79f9bbe892.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0535,0.9465],"probability":0.0535,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":103.0,"volume_24hr":103.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.061500000000000006,"volume_24h_change":103.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.833778381347656,"normalized_volume":6.328571796417236,"liquidity":909.42994,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-alice-weidel-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.115,0.125,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.06,0.0595,0.057,0.0345,0.0305,0.03,0.0385,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599730","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-heidi-reichinnek-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Heidi Reichinnek","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-reichinnek-b09f8cfcdf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-reichinnek-b09f8cfcdf.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.044,0.956],"probability":0.044,"spread":0.072,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.0,"volume_24hr":23.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.196,"volume_24h_change":23.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.136294841766357,"normalized_volume":2.963266372680664,"liquidity":1683.80571,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-heidi-reichinnek-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.135,0.125,0.14,0.25,0.045,0.044,0.0445,0.0415,0.0425,0.0425,0.0425,0.0435,0.021,0.017,0.0165,0.0305,0.0335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599731","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-sahra-wagenknecht-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will Sahra Wagenknecht be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Sahra Wagenknecht","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-wagenknecht-b208451f21.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-de-wagenknecht-b208451f21.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.065,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-15T21:29:04Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48.8,"volume_24hr":48.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.19949999999999998,"volume_24h_change":48.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.254626750946045,"normalized_volume":4.4808526039123535,"liquidity":1287.47774,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T11:38:42.964519Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-sahra-wagenknecht-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.145,0.13,0.22,0.365,0.06,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.105,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.026,0.02,0.0195,0.031,0.031]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4599793","event_id":"1030146","slug":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","question":"Will someone else be the next Chancellor of Germany?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T21:36:58.060119Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028-before-2028/will-someone-else-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany-before-2028","event_title":"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1030146","as_of":"2026-09-16T11:58:47.951708Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?\" — top market at 42% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}