{"source":"polymarket","id":"1030991","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-flavio-bolsonaro-vote-share","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-flavio-bolsonaro-vote-share","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election.\n\nThe percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-LUNiqIvy01pf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-LUNiqIvy01pf.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T02:26:33Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T02:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2320.2917500000003,"volume_24hr":2320.29175,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.248598098754883,"normalized_volume":13.658867835998535,"liquidity":13222.00731,"open_interest":2133.427392,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100185","slug":"brazil","label":"Brazil"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"39%+","top_outcome_probability":0.635,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.37,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":746.068406,"updated_at":"2026-09-16T18:45:07.681649Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T18:45:07.681649Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T02:28:26.438888Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-flavio-bolsonaro-vote-share","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,243.735464,253.84505200000004,253.845052,293.845052,397.905052,1660.549108,1660.549108,1664.5991080000001,1702.599108,2320.29175],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4603362","event_id":"1030991","slug":"brazil-first-round-vote-share-flavio-bolsonaro-39-plus","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"39%+","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election.\n\nThe percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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