{"source":"polymarket","id":"1033825","ticker":"sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin","slug":"sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin","title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sweden-parliamentary-election-winner-IocfiwWAt86R.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6274.01942,"volume_24hr":8269.019419999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.7637996673584,"normalized_volume":17.389141082763672,"liquidity":83745.94709,"open_interest":4925.389825,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"191","slug":"sweden","label":"Sweden"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"106088","slug":"sweden-elections","label":"Sweden Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"},{"id":"106091","slug":"sweden-parliamentary-elections","label":"Sweden Parliamentary Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Opposition by 3–4","top_outcome_probability":0.968,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.5029999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2288.6386829999997,"updated_at":"2026-09-16T23:46:25.980895Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T23:46:25.980895Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.201394Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin","chart_24h":[1598.0,2195.2,4283.164445,4833.660385,5970.365919,6623.6756909999995,8034.93942,8269.019419999999,8269.019419999999],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618207","event_id":"1033825","slug":"sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-opposition-by-3-4","question":"Will the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Opposition by 3–4","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.968,0.032],"probability":0.968,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2288.638683,"volume_24hr":2288.6386829999997,"prob_24h_change":0.5029999999999999,"volume_24h_change":2288.6386829999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.003969192504883,"normalized_volume":17.558923721313477,"liquidity":10117.30259,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T22:54:33.522814Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T22:54:33.522814Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-opposition-by-3-4","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.815,0.93,0.968,0.968]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618208","event_id":"1033825","slug":"sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-opposition-by-1-2","question":"Will the opposition parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Opposition by 1–2","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1781.902705,"volume_24hr":1781.902705,"prob_24h_change":-0.43300000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1781.902705,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.476713180541992,"normalized_volume":16.441734313964844,"liquidity":10573.64155,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T23:21:06.642824Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T23:21:06.642824Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-opposition-by-1-2","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.455,0.23,0.345,0.19,0.07,0.0325,0.0325,0.032]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618209","event_id":"1033825","slug":"sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-tido-by-1-2","question":"Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Tidö by 1–2","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":833.014532,"volume_24hr":1230.014532,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1230.014532,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.307464599609375,"normalized_volume":13.273770332336426,"liquidity":15136.68436,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T22:27:47.606845Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T22:27:47.606845Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-tido-by-1-2","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":[0.021,0.026,0.0285,0.0265,0.0135,0.0145,0.006,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618206","event_id":"1033825","slug":"sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-opposition-by-5-6","question":"Will the opposition parties win by 5–6 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Opposition by 5–6","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":205.0,"volume_24hr":607.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0034999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":205.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.48060417175293,"normalized_volume":8.328301429748535,"liquidity":13157.57888,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T22:27:47.606845Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T22:27:47.606845Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-opposition-by-5-6","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":[0.0055,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.002,0.002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618205","event_id":"1033825","slug":"will-the-opposition-parties-win-by-7-or-more-seats-in-the-2026-swedish-parliamentary-election","question":"Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Opposition by 7+","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":426.12350000000004,"volume_24hr":823.1235,"prob_24h_change":-0.0445,"volume_24h_change":426.12350000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.081626892089844,"normalized_volume":10.76400375366211,"liquidity":12556.79252,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T19:13:15.053434Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T19:13:15.053434Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-tido-by-3-4","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.023,0.017,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618211","event_id":"1033825","slug":"sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-tido-by-5-plus","question":"Will the Tidö parties win by 5 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Tidö by 5+","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T16:25:54Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.0,"volume_24hr":431.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.01,"volume_24h_change":29.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.77016830444336,"normalized_volume":3.394000291824341,"liquidity":8010.17514,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T18:45:40.879726Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T18:45:40.879726Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-tido-by-5-plus","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":[0.0105,0.0095,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4618212","event_id":"1033825","slug":"sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-other","question":"Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election bloc seat margin?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).\n\nSeats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.\n\nIf the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T16:35:47.275783Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-election-tido-vs-opposition-seat-margin/sweden-2026-bloc-seat-margin-other","event_title":"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1033825","as_of":"2026-09-16T23:56:48.474105Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?\" — top market at 97% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}