{"source":"polymarket","id":"1035401","ticker":"next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915","slug":"next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915","title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2354.25,"volume_24hr":2354.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.570465087890625,"normalized_volume":13.710108757019043,"liquidity":10791.87035,"open_interest":2334.249999,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"},{"id":"105531","slug":"opus","label":"Claude Opus"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 25","top_outcome_probability":0.145,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.630173Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.630173Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.813665Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915","chart_24h":[0.0,402.0,2252.5,2354.25,2354.25,2354.25,2354.25],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627747","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-17-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 17","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":397.0,"volume_24hr":397.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015,"volume_24h_change":397.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.373826026916504,"normalized_volume":10.51446533203125,"liquidity":219.5884,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:07:24.939710Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:07:24.939710Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-17-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.155,0.06,0.055,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627750","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-20-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-21T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":467.75,"volume_24hr":467.75,"prob_24h_change":-0.02500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":467.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.17027473449707,"normalized_volume":11.097067832946777,"liquidity":1038.4271,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-20-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.185,0.25,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627756","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-26-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 26","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":447.0,"volume_24hr":447.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08,"volume_24h_change":447.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.947731971740723,"normalized_volume":10.93427848815918,"liquidity":985.8433,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-26-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.14,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627757","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-27-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":447.0,"volume_24hr":447.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.085,"volume_24h_change":447.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.947731971740723,"normalized_volume":10.93427848815918,"liquidity":1166.2266,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-27-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.14,0.055,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627749","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-19-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 19","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-20T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":447.0,"volume_24hr":447.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.074,"volume_24h_change":447.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.947731971740723,"normalized_volume":10.93427848815918,"liquidity":105.9336,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T01:02:57.386416Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T01:02:57.386416Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-19-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.14,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627746","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-september-16-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on or prior to September 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"On or prior to September 16","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":148.5,"volume_24hr":148.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.3545,"volume_24h_change":148.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.056341171264648,"normalized_volume":7.3562211990356445,"liquidity":1620.05204,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-september-16-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.25,0.035,0.005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627755","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-25-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":569.7431,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-25-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.26,0.095,0.1,0.12,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627758","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-28-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 28","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":440.3012,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:30:55.172831Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:30:55.172831Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-28-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.255,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627753","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-23-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 23","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":392.2474,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T02:42:12.146113Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T02:42:12.146113Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-23-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.26,0.085,0.12,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627754","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-24-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 24","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-25T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":574.397,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-24-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.255,0.19,0.105,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627759","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-29-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 29","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":640.7977,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:30:55.172831Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:30:55.172831Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-29-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.14,0.095,0.1,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627760","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-30-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":517.9043,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-30-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.14,0.085,0.105,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627761","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-there-be-no-next-claude-opus-model-release-by-september-30-2026","question":"Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"No release by September 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":427.8683,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T04:23:08.728323Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-there-be-no-next-claude-opus-model-release-by-september-30-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.26,0.15,0.085,0.105,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627752","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-22-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-23T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":430.9506,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:30:55.172831Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:30:55.172831Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-22-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.26,0.09,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627751","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-21-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 21","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":253.786,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:07:24.939710Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:07:24.939710Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-21-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.185,0.06,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4627748","event_id":"1035401","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-18-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T22:24:55Z","end_date":"2026-09-19T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":179.9081,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T03:56:18.250657Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T22:28:23.846642Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-september-18-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.135,0.06,0.055]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1035401","as_of":"2026-09-17T04:45:32.756996Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Claude Opus released on...?\" — top market at 4% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}