{"source":"polymarket","id":"1040634","ticker":"third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november","slug":"third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november","title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1177.75,"volume_24hr":1177.75,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.607240676879883,"normalized_volume":11.37409496307373,"liquidity":3706.34636,"open_interest":192.77640599999995,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.256076Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.256076Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.874527Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,612.5699999999999,792.75,812.75,832.75,832.75,1016.75,1016.75,1054.75,1096.75,1096.75],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664748","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-tencent-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":185.323,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-tencent-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.255,0.14,0.145,0.255,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.245,0.12,0.125,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.245,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664747","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-meituan-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":188.35999999999999,"volume_24hr":188.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":188.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.704916000366211,"normalized_volume":8.067065238952637,"liquidity":159.1478,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T14:37:02.054284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T14:37:02.054284Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-meta-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.26,0.255,0.455,0.255,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.11,0.165,0.16,0.165,0.14,0.135,0.275,0.145,0.145,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664727","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-google-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":85.35999999999999,"volume_24hr":85.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":85.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.7392377853393555,"normalized_volume":5.832174777984619,"liquidity":219.3084,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-google-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.26,0.255,0.305,0.325,0.19,0.37,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.405,0.275,0.27,0.16,0.175,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664730","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-alibaba-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.36,"volume_24hr":37.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.205,"volume_24h_change":37.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.178345680236816,"normalized_volume":3.9023241996765137,"liquidity":153.9253,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-alibaba-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.26,0.14,0.125,0.215,0.085,0.235,0.245,0.23,0.245,0.24,0.195,0.21,0.235,0.24,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664738","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-xiaomi-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":138.1691,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T14:37:02.054284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T14:37:02.054284Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-xiaomi-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.215,0.09,0.13,0.355,0.22,0.335,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.135,0.255,0.14]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664742","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-bytedance-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54.55,"volume_24hr":54.55,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":54.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.283199310302734,"normalized_volume":4.734925746917725,"liquidity":192.121,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-bytedance-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.14,0.145,0.235,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.255,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.145,0.1,0.07,0.115,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664743","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-nvidia-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":119.1149,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T13:50:26.089280Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T13:50:26.089280Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-nvidia-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.14,0.255,0.14,0.245,0.165,0.245,0.08,0.24,0.13,0.255,0.14,0.155,0.125,0.13,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664740","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-deepseek-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.36,"volume_24hr":37.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":37.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.178345680236816,"normalized_volume":3.9023241996765137,"liquidity":226.0224,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-deepseek-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.145,0.255,0.13,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.125,0.105,0.125,0.215,0.245,0.245,0.125,0.12,0.245,0.245,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664749","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-stepfun-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.36,"volume_24hr":37.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":37.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.178345680236816,"normalized_volume":3.9023241996765137,"liquidity":178.1424,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-stepfun-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.255,0.12,0.125,0.155,0.245,0.185,0.125,0.12,0.25,0.12,0.13,0.125,0.245,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664750","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-microsoft-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":172.2636,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-microsoft-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.255,0.13,0.26,0.135,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.265,0.145,0.265,0.135,0.125,0.12,0.12,0.125,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664736","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-baidu-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0785,0.9215],"probability":0.0785,"spread":0.077,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.17149999999999999,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":163.77589,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-baidu-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.135,0.255,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.155,0.14,0.36,0.215,0.225,0.105,0.135,0.045,0.286,0.384,0.224,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664737","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-zptai-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":177.6197,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-zptai-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.14,0.145,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.31,0.135,0.135,0.25,0.25,0.125,0.14,0.25,0.135,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664741","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-amazon-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.27999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":135.2418,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-amazon-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.14,0.135,0.26,0.14,0.255,0.23,0.14,0.165,0.09,0.155,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.055,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664744","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-thinky-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":157.6303,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T11:13:39.007757Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T11:13:39.007757Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-thinky-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.135,0.14,0.145,0.26,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.23,0.13,0.125,0.175,0.125,0.245,0.125,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664732","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-moonshot-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.285,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":191.1505,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-moonshot-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.14,0.255,0.14,0.135,0.26,0.13,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.145,0.295,0.135,0.245,0.115,0.115,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664722","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-anthropic-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":106.36,"volume_24hr":106.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.29,"volume_24h_change":106.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.513335227966309,"normalized_volume":6.415523052215576,"liquidity":127.5199,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T14:37:02.054284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T14:37:02.054284Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-anthropic-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.14,0.145,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.145,0.37,0.335,0.385,0.265,0.13,0.12,0.065,0.075,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664734","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-openai-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.185,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":164.2379,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-openai-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.14,0.255,0.14,0.225,0.14,0.085,0.085,0.065,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664745","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-minimax-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.185,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":197.8268,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-minimax-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.255,0.14,0.135,0.255,0.16,0.24,0.12,0.375,0.22,0.315,0.145,0.25,0.13,0.175,0.055,0.105,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664746","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-mistral-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.36,"volume_24hr":37.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.185,"volume_24h_change":37.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.178345680236816,"normalized_volume":3.9023241996765137,"liquidity":195.8293,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-mistral-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.26,0.14,0.255,0.14,0.255,0.21,0.075,0.11,0.175,0.07,0.145,0.07,0.145,0.11,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664739","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-spacexai-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T00:10:47Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.36,"volume_24hr":46.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":46.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.794157981872559,"normalized_volume":4.366391181945801,"liquidity":172.0982,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T15:03:15.348611Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-spacexai-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.14,0.255,0.145,0.25,0.145,0.145,0.195,0.205,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.25,0.07,0.105,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4664751","event_id":"1040634","slug":"will-any-other-ai-labcompany-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","question":"Will any other AI lab/company be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T00:33:26.959822Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/third-best-ai-lab-end-of-november/will-any-other-ai-labcompany-be-the-third-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","event_title":"Third-best AI Lab end of November?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1040634","as_of":"2026-09-18T15:06:53.165342Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Third-best AI Lab end of November?\" — top market at 20% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}