{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1045555","as_of":"2026-11-13T15:57:53.647416Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Anthropic lab leak by...?\" — 2 markets; highest \"June 30, 2027\" at 7% as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1045555","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-lab-leak-by"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1045555","ticker":"anthropic-lab-leak-by","slug":"anthropic-lab-leak-by","title":"Anthropic lab leak by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lableak-cf241c3cff.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lableak-cf241c3cff.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-19T00:27:18Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":166559.19464900004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.77763366699219,"liquidity":45962.51419,"open_interest":10832.671468,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101548","slug":"virus","label":"virus"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"414","slug":"health","label":"health"},{"id":"101894","slug":"disease","label":"disease"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"104108","slug":"dario-amodei","label":"Dario Amodei"},{"id":"105582","slug":"ai-regulation","label":"AI Regulation"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:57:50.573343Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:57:50.573343Z","added_at":"2026-09-19T00:31:48.918863Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-lab-leak-by","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4713829","event_id":"1045555","slug":"anthropic-lab-leak-by-june-30-2027","question":"Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-19T00:27:20Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":126348.50647700002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.48441696166992,"liquidity":11122.8037,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T15:05:36.887021Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T15:05:36.887021Z","added_at":"2026-09-19T00:31:48.948120Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-lab-leak-by/anthropic-lab-leak-by-june-30-2027","event_title":"Anthropic lab leak by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4713828","event_id":"1045555","slug":"anthropic-lab-leak-by-december-31-2026","question":"Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0165,0.9835],"probability":0.0165,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-19T00:27:18Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":40210.68817200001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.977420806884766,"liquidity":40965.04351,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T15:05:36.887021Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T15:05:36.887021Z","added_at":"2026-09-19T00:31:48.948120Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-lab-leak-by/anthropic-lab-leak-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Anthropic lab leak by...?","chart_24h":null}]}