{"source":"polymarket","id":"1045731","ticker":"eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31","slug":"eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31","title":"EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-rus-df17d3cbf9.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-rus-df17d3cbf9.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-19T01:13:31Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1118.603565,"volume_24hr":1118.603565,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.929723739624023,"normalized_volume":11.20842170715332,"liquidity":9195.3087,"open_interest":641.281464,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"100262","slug":"european-union","label":"European Union "}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.145,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.355,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1118.603565,"updated_at":"2026-09-19T22:23:55.223134Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T22:23:55.223134Z","added_at":"2026-09-19T01:18:00.231320Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,21.754386,26.754386,26.754386,26.754386,41.985156,813.4795389999999,882.4795389999999,882.4795389999999,1045.270231,1045.270231,1045.270231,1045.270231,1085.270231,1085.270231,1118.603565],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4714426","event_id":"1045731","slug":"eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31","question":"EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-rus-df17d3cbf9.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/eu-rus-df17d3cbf9.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-19T01:13:31Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1118.603565,"volume_24hr":1118.603565,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":1118.603565,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.36665916442871,"normalized_volume":14.461480140686035,"liquidity":9190.009,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T21:32:30.520809Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T21:32:30.520809Z","added_at":"2026-09-19T01:18:00.283412Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31/eu-country-expels-russian-ambassador-by-december-31","event_title":"EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.27,0.275,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.495,0.46,0.405,0.23,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1045731","as_of":"2026-09-19T22:27:38.409739Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}